Sport Picks
Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs
New Zealand
Chatham Cup 2023 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-3, with Eastern Suburbs advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Olympic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Wellington Olympic come out ahead of Eastern Suburbs on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Wellington Olympic's way, sitting at 40%.
- Wellington Olympic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Eastern Suburbs, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 11%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Olympic | Eastern Suburbs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 32 |
| Wins | 21 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2025 Chatham Cup
Eastern Suburbs vs Wellington Olympic
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs
4:1
Oct 14, 2023 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs
2:2
Jul 29, 2023 Chatham Cup
Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wellington Olympic 38 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wellington Olympic Eastern Suburbs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wellington Olympic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington Olympic found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (36 games).
H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.
Eastern Suburbs let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.
Difficult form: Eastern Suburbs registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wellington Olympic VS Eastern Suburbs
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington Olympic
(Home) 13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1 Miramar
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3 Wellington Olympic
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Christchurch
15 Nov
Auckland FC 2
2 : 1 Wellington Olympic
Page 1 of 8
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1 Miramar
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Christchurch
31 Oct
Wellington Olympic
1 : 0 Western Suburbs
18 Oct
Wellington Olympic
0 : 1 Auckland City
Page 1 of 4
Eastern Suburbs
(Away) 16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
02 Nov
Coastal Spirit
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
12 Oct
Wellington Olympic
4 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC 0
Melville 2
Western Springs 3
Auckland City 2
Roslyn Wakari 4
Wanaka FC 3
Napier City 0
Waterside Karori 3
Hamilton 3
Ngaruawahia AFC 2
Cashmere Technical 0
Christchurch 3
Petone 0
Wellington Olympic 5
Birkenhead 1
Eastern Suburbs 2
Quarter-finals
Melville 1
Western Springs 0
Roslyn Wakari 2
Waterside Karori 5
Hamilton 0
Christchurch 3
Wellington Olympic 2
Eastern Suburbs 3
Semi-finals
Melville 3
Waterside Karori 1
Christchurch 2
Eastern Suburbs 1
Final
Melville 2
Christchurch 3
