Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wellington Olympic host Eastern Suburbs in the National League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Eastern Suburbs have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Wellington Olympic have conceded 1.66 and scored 2.57. Past meetings favor Wellington Olympic slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.92 vs 1.19, favoring Wellington Olympic. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Wellington Olympic
15%
Draws
37%
Eastern Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wellington Olympic come out ahead of Eastern Suburbs on wins alone.
  • Wellington Olympic are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Olympic Eastern Suburbs
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 21 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.57 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Chatham Cup
Eastern Suburbs vs Wellington Olympic
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs
4:1
Oct 14, 2023 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs
2:2
Jul 29, 2023 Chatham Cup
Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Olympic 36 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Olympic Eastern Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Olympic found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (35 games).

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Eastern Suburbs let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Wellington Olympic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Olympic VS Eastern Suburbs
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Olympic

(Home)
03 Oct
Wellington Olympic
1 : 2
Ferrymead Bays
27 Sept
Auckland FC 2
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3
Wellington Olympic
Page 1 of 7

Eastern Suburbs

(Away)
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4
Auckland City
26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cashmere Technical 2 2 0 0 14:0 6
2 Auckland United 2 1 1 0 8:2 4
3 Miramar 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Ferrymead Bays 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Auckland City 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
6 Wellington Olympic 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
7 Eastern Suburbs 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
8 Napier City 2 0 1 1 2:8 1
9 Wellington Phoenix 2 2 0 1 1 1:11 1
10 Auckland FC 2 2 0 0 2 3:5 0
11 Birkenhead 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)