Sport Picks
Wellington Olympic vs Manurewa
New Zealand
Chatham Cup 2024 Wakefield Park, Wellington 
Match Events
44'
44'
Watson H.
51'
51'
Mata B.
59'
59'
Watson H.
AI Match Summary
Wellington Olympic in this Chatham Cup 2024 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Olympic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Wellington Olympic have won more games recently than Manurewa.
- Wellington Olympic are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Wellington Olympic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Wellington Olympic, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 68%
Manurewa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Olympic | Manurewa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 13 |
| Wins | 24 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.89 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.10 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 27, 2024 Chatham Cup
Wellington Olympic vs Manurewa
4:0
Sep 24, 2023 National League
Manurewa vs Wellington Olympic
2:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wellington Olympic Compare
Top Goalscorer Watson H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mata B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05
Manurewa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wellington Olympic 95 / 100
Manurewa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wellington Olympic Manurewa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wellington Olympic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington Olympic found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (37 games).
Manurewa has conceded goals in 85% of their last 13 outings.
Games between these two average 5.50 goals.
Wellington Olympic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wellington Olympic VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington Olympic
(Home) 27 Sept
Auckland FC 2
2 : 3 Wellington Olympic
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1 Miramar
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3 Wellington Olympic
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Christchurch
Page 1 of 8
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1 Miramar
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Christchurch
31 Oct
Wellington Olympic
1 : 0 Western Suburbs
18 Oct
Wellington Olympic
0 : 1 Auckland City
Page 1 of 4
Manurewa
(Away) 27 Jul
Wellington Olympic
4 : 0 Manurewa
06 Jul
Manurewa
3 : 2 Onehunga Mangere
01 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 0 Manurewa
18 Nov
Petone
1 : 2 Manurewa
12 Nov
Manurewa
0 : 0 Auckland United
Page 1 of 3
27 Jul
Wellington Olympic
4 : 0 Manurewa
01 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 0 Manurewa
18 Nov
Petone
1 : 2 Manurewa
05 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
3 : 0 Manurewa
22 Oct
Napier City
0 : 1 Manurewa
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Melville 0
Hibiscus Coast 1
Ferrymead Bays 3
Coastal Spirit 5
Wellington Olympic 8
Stop Out SC 0
Manurewa 3
Onehunga Mangere 2
Otago University 3
Dunedin City Royals 2
Cambridge 1
Auckland City 4
Napier City 2
Miramar 1
Western Springs 3
Birkenhead 4
Quarter-finals
Hibiscus Coast 3
Coastal Spirit 4
Wellington Olympic 4
Manurewa 0
Otago University 1
Auckland City 5
Napier City 1
Birkenhead 2
Semi-finals
Coastal Spirit 1
Wellington Olympic 5
Auckland City 4
Birkenhead 2
Final
Wellington Olympic 2
Auckland City 1
