Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wellington Olympic vs Western Springs

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Wakefield Park
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sinclair J.
34' Event
McLeod R.
90' Event
Supyk A.

AI Match Summary

Wellington Olympic in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wellington Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Wellington Olympic
33%
Draws
27%
Western Springs
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Wellington Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Wellington Olympic have won more games recently than Western Springs.
  • Wellington Olympic are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 13%
Western Springs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Olympic Western Springs
Matches Played 40 23
Wins 25 12
Draws 5 1
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Western Springs
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 National League
Western Springs vs Wellington Olympic
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinclair J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Supyk A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Western Springs Compare

Top Goalscorer McLeod R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Olympic 39 / 100
Western Springs 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Olympic Western Springs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wellington Olympic scored in 90% of their last 40 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Western Springs let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Western Springs lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Olympic VS Western Springs
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Olympic1070323:1421
2Auckland City1062219:1420
3Miramar1061325:1419
4Auckland FC 21053217:1018
5Western Springs1051416:1316
6Birkenhead1050520:2115
7Christchurch1042416:1914
8Wellington Phoenix 21031618:2110
9Western Suburbs1031619:2110
10Auckland United1022611:198
11Coastal Spirit102175:237