Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wellington Olympic vs Western Suburbs

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2025 Wakefield Park, Wellington
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Bouzoukis G.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025 game between Wellington Olympic and Western Suburbs finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wellington Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Wellington Olympic
15%
Draws
34%
Western Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wellington Olympic come out ahead of Western Suburbs on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Wellington Olympic's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Wellington Olympic here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 13%
Western Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Olympic Western Suburbs
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.71 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2025 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Western Suburbs
1:0
Jul 26, 2025 Chatham Cup
Western Suburbs vs Wellington Olympic
2:3
Nov 8, 2024 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Western Suburbs
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouzoukis G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Western Suburbs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Olympic 84 / 100
Western Suburbs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Olympic Western Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wellington Olympic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wellington Olympic scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Western Suburbs conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Western Suburbs lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Olympic VS Western Suburbs
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Olympic

(Home)
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3
Wellington Olympic
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Christchurch
15 Nov
Auckland FC 2
2 : 1
Wellington Olympic
Page 1 of 7

Western Suburbs

(Away)
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 0
Auckland United
15 Nov
Christchurch
3 : 1
Western Suburbs
09 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 1
Auckland FC 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wellington Olympic 10 7 0 3 23:14 21
2 Auckland City 10 6 2 2 19:14 20
3 Miramar 10 6 1 3 25:14 19
4 Auckland FC 2 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
5 Western Springs 10 5 1 4 16:13 16
6 Birkenhead 10 5 0 5 20:21 15
7 Christchurch 10 4 2 4 16:19 14
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 10 3 1 6 18:21 10
9 Western Suburbs 10 3 1 6 19:21 10
10 Auckland United 10 2 2 6 11:19 8
11 Coastal Spirit 10 2 1 7 5:23 7
Promotion - National League 2025 (Grand Final)