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Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Auckland City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wellington Phoenix 2 host Auckland City in the National League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Auckland City have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Wellington Phoenix 2 have conceded 2.53 and scored 1.87. Past meetings favor Auckland City slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.46 - 2.73) back Auckland City to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Wellington Phoenix 2
20%
Draws
61%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auckland City lately — more wins on the board than Wellington Phoenix 2.
  • Auckland City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Phoenix 2 Auckland City
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 10 27
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.87 1.95
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 2.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 National League
Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 National League
Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix 2
3:4
Sep 23, 2023 National League
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Auckland City
0:1
Nov 5, 2022 National League
Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:0
Feb 20, 2021 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Auckland City
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 2 10 / 100
Auckland City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Phoenix 2 Auckland City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wellington Phoenix 2 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Auckland City conceded in 66% of 41 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Wellington Phoenix 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Phoenix 2 VS Auckland City
1.67 Goals Scored 2.63
2.83 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Phoenix 2

(Home)
10 Oct
Wellington Phoenix 2
0 : 1
Birkenhead
04 Oct
Cashmere Technical
10 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1
Auckland United
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
Page 1 of 6

Auckland City

(Away)
17 Oct
Miramar
0 : 2
Auckland City
10 Oct
Auckland City
2 : 2
Wellington Olympic
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4
Auckland City
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0
Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wellington Olympic 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
2 Auckland City 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
3 Miramar 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
4 Cashmere Technical 3 2 0 1 15:2 6
5 Auckland United 3 1 2 0 10:4 5
6 Ferrymead Bays 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 Napier City 3 1 1 1 4:9 4
8 Birkenhead 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
9 Auckland FC 2 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
10 Eastern Suburbs 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
11 Wellington Phoenix 2 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)