Sport Picks
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Waitakere United
New Zealand
Football Championship 
Match Events
23'
23'
Garriga G.
78'
78'
Mogg K.
AI Match Summary
The Football Championship game between Wellington Phoenix 2 and Waitakere United finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waitakere United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Waitakere United haven't matched Wellington Phoenix 2's recent run of results.
- Model gives Waitakere United a 47% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Waitakere United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix 2 | Waitakere United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.92 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.21 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 17, 2021 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Waitakere United
1:1
Nov 21, 2020 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
1:4
Jan 19, 2020 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Waitakere United
3:4
Nov 2, 2019 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
3:1
Jan 20, 2019 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mogg K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Waitakere United Compare
Top Goalscorer Garriga G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wellington Phoenix 2 23 / 100
Waitakere United 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wellington Phoenix 2 Waitakere United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Waitakere United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Waitakere United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Wellington Phoenix 2 scored in 77% of their last 39 outings.
Wellington Phoenix 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wellington Phoenix 2 VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington Phoenix 2
(Home) 26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1 Auckland United
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7 Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3 Birkenhead
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 0 Coastal Spirit
Page 1 of 8
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1 Auckland United
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3 Birkenhead
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 0 Coastal Spirit
25 Oct
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 4 Miramar
11 Oct
Wellington Phoenix 2
3 : 0 Christchurch
Page 1 of 4
Waitakere United
(Away) 27 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 2 Waitakere United
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0 Hawke s Bay
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2 Waitakere United
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4 Waitakere United
Page 1 of 6
27 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 2 Waitakere United
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2 Waitakere United
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4 Waitakere United
17 Jan
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1 Waitakere United
20 Dec
Hawke s Bay
2 : 0 Waitakere United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Team Wellington | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 35:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Hamilton | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23:21 | 20 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:23 | 19 |
| 5 | Waitakere United | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 28:26 | 18 |
| 6 | Canterbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 18 |
| 7 | Hawke s Bay | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:37 | 10 |
Promotion - Football Championship (Play Offs)
