Sport Picks
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Canterbury United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
New Zealand
National League Women 
Match Events
33'
33'
48'
48'
54'
54'
AI Match Summary
The National League Women game between Wellington Phoenix 2 W and Canterbury United W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wellington Phoenix 2 W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Wellington Phoenix 2 W come out ahead of Canterbury United W on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Clean Sheet 10%
Canterbury United W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | Canterbury United W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.52 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Canterbury United W
3:1
Oct 10, 2025 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4:1
Oct 29, 2023 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 30 / 100
Canterbury United W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Canterbury United W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington Phoenix 2 W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Canterbury United W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 4.25 goals.
Wellington Phoenix 2 W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Wellington Phoenix 2 W VS Canterbury United W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
(Home) 04 Oct
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 1 Canterbury United W
15 Aug
Cashmere Technical W
2 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0 Waterside Karori W
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 1 Canterbury United W
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0 Waterside Karori W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2 Western Springs W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0 Central Football W
19 Oct
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
1 : 4 Auckland United W
Page 1 of 3
Canterbury United W
(Away) 27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 1 Canterbury United W
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0 Central Football W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2 Canterbury United W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5 West Coast Rangers W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8 Wellington United W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 1 Canterbury United W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2 Canterbury United W
25 Oct
Southern United W
4 : 0 Canterbury United W
18 Oct
Eastern Suburbs W
5 : 0 Canterbury United W
27 Sept
Auckland United W
8 : 0 Canterbury United W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland United W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Eastern Suburbs W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Waterside Karori W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Fencibles W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Wellington United W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 6 | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 7 | West Coast Rangers W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 8 | Canterbury United W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 9 | Southern United W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:12 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)
