Sport Picks

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Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Central Football W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2023 Sky Stadium, Wellington
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Swinbanks S.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Wellington Phoenix 2 W in this National League Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wellington Phoenix 2 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6%
Draws
4%
Central Football W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington Phoenix 2 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Central Football W haven't matched Wellington Phoenix 2 W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Wellington Phoenix 2 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • Wellington Phoenix 2 W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Clean Sheet 13%
Central Football W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Phoenix 2 W Central Football W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 4 1
Losses 19 27
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 7.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 7.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Central Football W
6:0
Nov 3, 2024 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Central Football W
5:0
Nov 19, 2023 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Central Football W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 2 W 84 / 100
Central Football W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Central Football W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Phoenix 2 W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Central Football W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Central Football W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Phoenix 2 W VS Central Football W
2 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 7.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Phoenix 2 W

(Home)
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0
Waterside Karori W
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2
Western Springs W
08 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0
Central Football W
Page 1 of 7

Central Football W

(Away)
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0
Central Football W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0
Central Football W
22 Oct
Central Football W
0 : 3
Petone W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971125:922
2Southern United W971122:622
3Eastern Suburbs W970222:1221
4Western Springs W961228:1119
5Wellington United W941418:1613
6Waterside Karori W941418:1613
7Canterbury United W921617:227
8Wellington Phoenix 2 W921612:267
9Central Football W91176:304
10Ellerslie W91083:233
Promotion - National League Women 2023 (Play Offs)