Sport Picks
Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets
Australia
A-League Sky Stadium 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Wellington Phoenix host Newcastle Jets in the A-League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Newcastle Jets have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Wellington Phoenix have conceded 1.38 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Wellington Phoenix slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.38) back Newcastle Jets to edge this. Newcastle Jets in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Newcastle Jets has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Wellington Phoenix.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in A-League provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix | Newcastle Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wellington Phoenix Compare
Newcastle Jets Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington Phoenix scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Newcastle Jets let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Wellington Phoenix went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Newcastle Jets lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide Utd | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | 21 |