Sport Picks
Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory
Australia
A-League 2025/2026 Sky Stadium, Wellington 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Timmins C. In: De Abreu G.
Out: Timmins C.
55'
55'
Piper C.
Assist: Najjarine R.
60'
60'
Kucharski J.
AI Match Summary
The A-League 2025/2026 game between Wellington Phoenix and Perth Glory finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wellington Phoenix.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wellington Phoenix
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Wellington Phoenix come out ahead of Perth Glory on wins alone.
- 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular A-League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Wellington Phoenix Clean Sheet 17%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix | Perth Glory |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix
2:2
Jul 27, 2025 Australia Cup
Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix
1:2
May 4, 2025 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory
0:2
Oct 26, 2024 A-League
Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wellington Phoenix Compare
Top Goalscorer Piper C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Perth Glory Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wellington Phoenix 36 / 100
Perth Glory 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wellington Phoenix Perth Glory
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Perth Glory Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington Phoenix found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Perth Glory let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Wellington Phoenix went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wellington Phoenix VS Perth Glory
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington Phoenix
(Home) 24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
18 Apr
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 1 Western Sydney Wanderers
12 Apr
Melbourne City
2 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
05 Apr
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1 Wellington Phoenix
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2 Wellington Phoenix
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 1 Western Sydney Wanderers
14 Mar
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 0 Perth Glory
01 Mar
Wellington Phoenix
0 : 1 Sydney FC
21 Feb
Wellington Phoenix
0 : 5 Auckland FC
06 Feb
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 3 Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 3
Perth Glory
(Away) 21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1 Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1 Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0 Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1 Macarthur FC
04 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2 Perth Glory
Page 1 of 7
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1 Perth Glory
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0 Perth Glory
04 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2 Perth Glory
14 Mar
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 0 Perth Glory
08 Mar
Auckland FC
2 : 2 Perth Glory
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide Utd | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | 21 |
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
