Sport Picks
Wellington Phoenix W vs Western Sydney Wanderers W
Australia
A-League Women Sky Stadium, Wellington 
Match Events
49'
49'
Sub
Hooks P. In: Cerne A.
Out: Hooks P.
55'
55'
Sub
Elliott M. In: Brazendale D.
Out: Elliott M.
55'
55'
Sub
Anthony M. In: Leon L.
Out: Anthony M.
AI Match Summary
Western Sydney Wanderers W in this A-League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Western Sydney Wanderers W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Wellington Phoenix W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Western Sydney Wanderers W haven't matched Wellington Phoenix W's recent run of results.
- Model gives Wellington Phoenix W a 60% chance of winning this.
- Regular A-League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Wellington Phoenix W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Wellington Phoenix W Clean Sheet 68%
Western Sydney Wanderers W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix W | Western Sydney Wanderers W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 A-League Women
Wellington Phoenix W vs Western Sydney Wanderers W
0:1
Dec 30, 2025 A-League Women
Western Sydney Wanderers W vs Wellington Phoenix W
0:3
Mar 9, 2025 A-League Women
Wellington Phoenix W vs Western Sydney Wanderers W
2:1
Jan 9, 2025 A-League Women
Western Sydney Wanderers W vs Wellington Phoenix W
0:3
Mar 30, 2024 A-League Women
Wellington Phoenix W vs Western Sydney Wanderers W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wellington Phoenix W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Western Sydney Wanderers W Compare
Top Goalscorer Yuan C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wellington Phoenix W 68 / 100
Western Sydney Wanderers W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wellington Phoenix W Western Sydney Wanderers W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington Phoenix W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Western Sydney Wanderers W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Difficult form: Western Sydney Wanderers W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wellington Phoenix W VS Western Sydney Wanderers W
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington Phoenix W
(Home) 16 May
Melbourne City W
3 : 1 Wellington Phoenix W
10 May
Wellington Phoenix W
2 : 0 Brisbane Roar W
03 May
Brisbane Roar W
2 : 1 Wellington Phoenix W
03 Apr
Adelaide W
0 : 2 Wellington Phoenix W
29 Mar
Wellington Phoenix W
0 : 1 Western Sydney Wanderers W
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Wellington Phoenix W
2 : 0 Brisbane Roar W
29 Mar
Wellington Phoenix W
0 : 1 Western Sydney Wanderers W
14 Mar
Wellington Phoenix W
3 : 0 Brisbane Roar W
15 Feb
Wellington Phoenix W
1 : 2 Central Coast W
06 Feb
Wellington Phoenix W
1 : 0 Perth W
Page 1 of 4
Western Sydney Wanderers W
(Away) 29 Mar
Wellington Phoenix W
0 : 1 Western Sydney Wanderers W
22 Mar
Western Sydney Wanderers W
1 : 2 Melbourne City W
14 Mar
Melbourne Victory W
1 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers W
21 Feb
Canberra W
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers W
13 Feb
Western Sydney Wanderers W
1 : 1 Newcastle W
Page 1 of 6
29 Mar
Wellington Phoenix W
0 : 1 Western Sydney Wanderers W
14 Mar
Melbourne Victory W
1 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers W
21 Feb
Canberra W
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers W
04 Feb
Melbourne City W
0 : 1 Western Sydney Wanderers W
31 Jan
Sydney W
2 : 3 Western Sydney Wanderers W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36:20 | 40 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 38:17 | 34 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30:24 | 31 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37:39 | 31 |
| 5 | Adelaide W | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 28 |
| 7 | Central Coast W | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 8 | Perth W | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:30 | 24 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 30:36 | 23 |
| 10 | Sydney W | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18:29 | 19 |
| 11 | Western Sydney Wanderers W | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:34 | 19 |
Promotion - A-League Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League Women (Play Offs)