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Wellington Rec vs Crusaders

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Barr L.
31' Event
Bryden F.
38' Event
Barr L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Wellington Rec and Crusaders finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crusaders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Wellington Rec
15%
Draws
57%
Crusaders
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crusaders come out ahead of Wellington Rec on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Crusaders's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Wellington Rec Clean Sheet 16%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Rec Crusaders
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 0 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.05 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Wellington Rec vs Crusaders
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Rec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Barr L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bryden F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Rec 11 / 100
Crusaders 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Rec Crusaders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crusaders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Wellington Rec found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (19 games).

Crusaders has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Crusaders has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Crusaders
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Rec

(Home)
15 Jul
Wellington Rec
0 : 4
Crusaders
04 Jan
Linfield
4 : 0
Wellington Rec
23 Nov
Wellington Rec
:
Dergview
29 Sept
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 0
Wellington Rec
30 Sept
St. Patricks Young
3 : 2
Wellington Rec
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Crusaders

(Away)
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
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