Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wellington Rec vs Downshire Y.M.

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wellington Rec in this Irish Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 8-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Wellington Rec
15%
Draws
42%
Downshire Y.M.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Rec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Wellington Rec have won more games recently than Downshire Y.M..
  • Model gives Wellington Rec a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Wellington Rec have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wellington Rec, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Wellington Rec Clean Sheet 10%
Downshire Y.M. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Rec Downshire Y.M.
Matches Played 20 18
Wins 10 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.05 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.8 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2009 Irish Cup
Wellington Rec vs Downshire Y.M.
8:0
Oct 25, 2008 Irish Cup
Wellington Rec vs Downshire Y.M.
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Rec 56 / 100
Downshire Y.M. 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Rec Downshire Y.M.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wellington Rec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Downshire Y.M. let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Wellington Rec found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (19 games).

Downshire Y.M.'s recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Rec VS Downshire Y.M.
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Rec

(Home)
15 Jul
Wellington Rec
0 : 4
Crusaders
04 Jan
Linfield
4 : 0
Wellington Rec
23 Nov
Wellington Rec
:
Dergview
29 Sept
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 0
Wellington Rec
30 Sept
St. Patricks Young
3 : 2
Wellington Rec
Page 1 of 4

Downshire Y.M.

(Away)
26 Jul
Downshire Y.M.
1 : 5
Crusaders
28 Sept
Killyleagh Youth
1 : 0
Downshire Y.M.
17 Aug
Downshire Y.M.
2 : 0
Rectory Rangers
29 Sept
Downshire Y.M.
0 : 4
Drumaness
30 Sept
Downshire Y.M.
1 : 10
Moyola
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 3
Ballynure Old Boys 1
TBD -
Bangor Old Boys -
Lurgan Town Boys 6
Strabane FC 5
Ardstraw 0
Newcastle 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Barn 4
Crewe 2
Mountjoy 1
Abbey Villa 0
Islandmagee 2
Omagh United -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United 1
Kilmore Rec 2
Richhill -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosside -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Glentoran -
Newry City -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United -
Raceview -
TBD -
TBD -
Draperstown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
Desertmartin 0
Hanover 1
Dromara -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Nortel 6
Bloomfield 1
TBD -
Newbuildings -
Seagoe -
TBD -
East Belfast 2
Lisburn Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 3
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
Grove -
Banbridge Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Foundry -
Dungiven -
TBD -
TBD -
Rathfriland Rangers -
Rosario Youth 5
Roe Valley 0
Kesh 2
Bryansburn 3
Dundela -
TBD -
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Dergview -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
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Knockbreda -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Ards -
Glebe -
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TBD -
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Wakehurst -
Chimney -
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Ballinamallard -
Institute -
TBD -
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Brantwood -
TBD -
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Tandragee -
Saintfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Killyleagh Youth -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fivemiletown -
TBD -
TBD -
U. U. Jordanstown -
Sirocco -
TBD -
Downshire Y.M. 0
Wellington Rec 8
TBD -
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Glenavon -
Crusaders -
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Banbridge -
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Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Ballymacash -
TBD -
Kilbride 1
Downpatrick 3
Broomhedge -
TBD -
Drumaness 1
Comber Rec 2
Holywood -
TBD -
TBD -
Shorts -
Newington FC 2
Laurelvale 0
TBD -
Magherafelt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Annagh -
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Portadown -
1/128-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 3
Bangor Old Boys 2
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Newcastle 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Barn 2
Crewe 4
Islandmagee 6
Omagh United 3
Kilmore Rec 2
Richhill 1
Mosside 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers 5
Crumlin United 1
Raceview 1
Draperstown 2
Warrenpoint 4
Hanover 1
Dromara 1
Dollingstown 2
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Nortel 4
Newbuildings 0
Seagoe 1
Lisburn Rangers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 2
Grove 0
Banbridge Rangers 0
Foundry 4
Dungiven 3
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Rosario Youth 3
Bryansburn 4
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood 4
Tandragee 1
Saintfield 0
Killyleagh Youth 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Sirocco 0
Wellington Rec 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Downpatrick 0
Broomhedge 1
Comber Rec 7
Holywood 4
Shorts 1
Newington FC 2
Magherafelt 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
1/64-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 4
Newcastle 1
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec 2
Islandmagee 6
Omagh United 1
Mosside 0
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers 4
Draperstown 1
Warrenpoint 0
Dollingstown 1
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Nortel 2
Lisburn Rangers 1
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 7
Foundry 5
Dungiven 1
Bryansburn 3
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 2
Wellington Rec 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Comber Rec 2
Holywood 2
Magherafelt 1
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
1/32-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
Queens University 0
Donegal 1
Malachians 3
Limavady 1
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare 2
PSNI 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Islandmagee 2
Omagh United 2
Sport & Leisure 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
Moyola 0
Larne 2
Ards Rangers 3
Dollingstown 2
Armagh 1
Loughgall 2
Nortel 1
Killymoon 0
Oxford Stars 2
Bryansburn 3
Dundela 3
Dergview 2
TBD -
Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Knockbreda 1
Ards 2
Glebe 1
Wakehurst 0
Chimney 0
Ballinamallard 9
Institute -
TBD -
Brantwood 0
Ballymoney 4
Harland & Wolff 2
Wellington Rec 1
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Banbridge 2
Bangor FC 3
Tobermore 2
Comber Rec 1
Holywood 0
Coagh Utd 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers 3
Annagh 1
TBD -
Portadown -
1/16-finals
Linfield 4
Donegal 0
Malachians 0
Dungannon 6
Ballyclare 5
Islandmagee 1
Omagh United 0
Glentoran 5
Newry City 2
Larne 1
Ards Rangers 1
Loughgall 3
Nortel 5
Bryansburn 4
Dundela 0
Coleraine 2
Ballymena 1
Ards 0
Glebe 0
Ballinamallard 3
Institute 2
Ballymoney 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Glenavon 5
Crusaders 5
Bangor FC 1
Tobermore 0
Coagh Utd 1
Cliftonville 2
Lisburn Distillery 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Portadown 2
1/8-finals
Linfield 4
Dungannon 0
Ballyclare 1
Glentoran 2
Newry City 2
Loughgall 1
Nortel 0
Coleraine 6
Ballymena 5
Ballinamallard 2
Institute 1
Glenavon 2
Crusaders 4
Coagh Utd 0
Cliftonville 1
Portadown 2
Quarter-finals
Linfield 3
Glentoran 1
Newry City 2
Coleraine 3
Ballymena 5
Glenavon 3
Crusaders 1
Portadown 2
Semi-finals
Linfield 4
Coleraine 2
Ballymena 1
Portadown 2
Final
Linfield 2
Portadown 1