Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wellington Rec vs Fivemiletown

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wellington Rec in this Irish Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Wellington Rec
15%
Draws
57%
Fivemiletown
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fivemiletown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Wellington Rec have won more games recently than Fivemiletown.
  • Win probability leans Fivemiletown's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Wellington Rec have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wellington Rec, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Wellington Rec Clean Sheet 10%
Fivemiletown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Rec Fivemiletown
Matches Played 20 16
Wins 10 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.05 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2009 Irish Cup
Wellington Rec vs Fivemiletown
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Rec 10 / 100
Fivemiletown 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Rec Fivemiletown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fivemiletown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fivemiletown let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Wellington Rec scored in 74% of their last 19 outings.

Fivemiletown lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Rec VS Fivemiletown
0.5 Goals Scored 3
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Rec

(Home)
15 Jul
Wellington Rec
0 : 4
Crusaders
04 Jan
Linfield
4 : 0
Wellington Rec
23 Nov
Wellington Rec
:
Dergview
29 Sept
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 0
Wellington Rec
30 Sept
St. Patricks Young
3 : 2
Wellington Rec
Page 1 of 4

Fivemiletown

(Away)
25 Nov
Fivemiletown
0 : 5
Strabane Athletic
17 Aug
Fivemiletown
2 : 3
Ardstraw
03 Nov
Fivemiletown
1 : 2
Tullycarnet
29 Sept
Wakehurst
2 : 3
Fivemiletown
18 Aug
Fivemiletown
7 : 0
Bloomfield
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 3
Ballynure Old Boys 1
TBD -
Bangor Old Boys -
Lurgan Town Boys 6
Strabane FC 5
Ardstraw 0
Newcastle 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Barn 4
Crewe 2
Mountjoy 1
Abbey Villa 0
Islandmagee 2
Omagh United -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United 1
Kilmore Rec 2
Richhill -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosside -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United -
Raceview -
TBD -
TBD -
Draperstown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
Desertmartin 0
Hanover 1
Dromara -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Nortel 6
Bloomfield 1
TBD -
Newbuildings -
Seagoe -
TBD -
East Belfast 2
Lisburn Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 3
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
Grove -
Banbridge Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Foundry -
Dungiven -
TBD -
TBD -
Rathfriland Rangers -
Rosario Youth 5
Roe Valley 0
Kesh 2
Bryansburn 3
Dundela -
TBD -
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Dergview -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Coleraine -
Ballymena -
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Knockbreda -
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Ards -
Glebe -
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Wakehurst -
Chimney -
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Ballinamallard -
Institute -
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Brantwood -
TBD -
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Tandragee -
Saintfield -
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Killyleagh Youth -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fivemiletown -
TBD -
TBD -
U. U. Jordanstown -
Sirocco -
TBD -
Downshire Y.M. 0
Wellington Rec 8
TBD -
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Glenavon -
Crusaders -
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Banbridge -
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Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
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TBD -
Ballymacash -
TBD -
Kilbride 1
Downpatrick 3
Broomhedge -
TBD -
Drumaness 1
Comber Rec 2
Holywood -
TBD -
TBD -
Shorts -
Newington FC 2
Laurelvale 0
TBD -
Magherafelt -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Annagh -
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Portadown -
1/128-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 3
Bangor Old Boys 2
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Newcastle 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Barn 2
Crewe 4
Islandmagee 6
Omagh United 3
Kilmore Rec 2
Richhill 1
Mosside 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers 5
Crumlin United 1
Raceview 1
Draperstown 2
Warrenpoint 4
Hanover 1
Dromara 1
Dollingstown 2
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Nortel 4
Newbuildings 0
Seagoe 1
Lisburn Rangers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 2
Grove 0
Banbridge Rangers 0
Foundry 4
Dungiven 3
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Rosario Youth 3
Bryansburn 4
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Knockbreda -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood 4
Tandragee 1
Saintfield 0
Killyleagh Youth 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Sirocco 0
Wellington Rec 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Downpatrick 0
Broomhedge 1
Comber Rec 7
Holywood 4
Shorts 1
Newington FC 2
Magherafelt 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
1/64-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 4
Newcastle 1
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec 2
Islandmagee 6
Omagh United 1
Mosside 0
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers 4
Draperstown 1
Warrenpoint 0
Dollingstown 1
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Nortel 2
Lisburn Rangers 1
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 7
Foundry 5
Dungiven 1
Bryansburn 3
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 2
Wellington Rec 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Comber Rec 2
Holywood 2
Magherafelt 1
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
1/32-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
Queens University 0
Donegal 1
Malachians 3
Limavady 1
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare 2
PSNI 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Islandmagee 2
Omagh United 2
Sport & Leisure 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
Moyola 0
Larne 2
Ards Rangers 3
Dollingstown 2
Armagh 1
Loughgall 2
Nortel 1
Killymoon 0
Oxford Stars 2
Bryansburn 3
Dundela 3
Dergview 2
TBD -
Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Knockbreda 1
Ards 2
Glebe 1
Wakehurst 0
Chimney 0
Ballinamallard 9
Institute -
TBD -
Brantwood 0
Ballymoney 4
Harland & Wolff 2
Wellington Rec 1
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Banbridge 2
Bangor FC 3
Tobermore 2
Comber Rec 1
Holywood 0
Coagh Utd 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers 3
Annagh 1
TBD -
Portadown -
1/16-finals
Linfield 4
Donegal 0
Malachians 0
Dungannon 6
Ballyclare 5
Islandmagee 1
Omagh United 0
Glentoran 5
Newry City 2
Larne 1
Ards Rangers 1
Loughgall 3
Nortel 5
Bryansburn 4
Dundela 0
Coleraine 2
Ballymena 1
Ards 0
Glebe 0
Ballinamallard 3
Institute 2
Ballymoney 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Glenavon 5
Crusaders 5
Bangor FC 1
Tobermore 0
Coagh Utd 1
Cliftonville 2
Lisburn Distillery 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Portadown 2
1/8-finals
Linfield 4
Dungannon 0
Ballyclare 1
Glentoran 2
Newry City 2
Loughgall 1
Nortel 0
Coleraine 6
Ballymena 5
Ballinamallard 2
Institute 1
Glenavon 2
Crusaders 4
Coagh Utd 0
Cliftonville 1
Portadown 2
Quarter-finals
Linfield 3
Glentoran 1
Newry City 2
Coleraine 3
Ballymena 5
Glenavon 3
Crusaders 1
Portadown 2
Semi-finals
Linfield 4
Coleraine 2
Ballymena 1
Portadown 2
Final
Linfield 2
Portadown 1