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Wellington United W vs Auckland United W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Johnson B.
69' Event
Haering S.
78' Event
Green T.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Auckland United W in this National League Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wellington United W
6%
Draws
4%
Auckland United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auckland United W lately — more wins on the board than Wellington United W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Wellington United W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Auckland United W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington United W Auckland United W
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 25
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 4.75 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 4.75 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Auckland United W
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Wellington United W
2:0
Nov 19, 2023 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Auckland United W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington United W Compare

Avg xG / game 3.65
Avg xA / game 2.38

Auckland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haering S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington United W 83 / 100
Auckland United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington United W Auckland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wellington United W scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Wellington United W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Auckland United W has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wellington United W VS Auckland United W
4.75 Goals Scored 3.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington United W

(Home)
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Page 1 of 6

Auckland United W

(Away)
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2
Auckland United W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971125:922
2Southern United W971122:622
3Eastern Suburbs W970222:1221
4Western Springs W961228:1119
5Wellington United W941418:1613
6Waterside Karori W941418:1613
7Canterbury United W921617:227
8Wellington Phoenix 2 W921612:267
9Central Football W91176:304
10Ellerslie W91083:233
Promotion - National League Women 2023 (Play Offs)