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Wellington United W vs Auckland United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Jensen A.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Wellington United W and Auckland United W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auckland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Wellington United W
15%
Draws
36%
Auckland United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auckland United W come out ahead of Wellington United W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Wellington United W a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Auckland United W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington United W Auckland United W
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 13 29
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 2.71 2.6
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Auckland United W
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Auckland United W
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Wellington United W
2:0
Nov 19, 2023 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Auckland United W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington United W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Auckland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jensen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington United W 83 / 100
Auckland United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington United W Auckland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wellington United W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington United W scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Wellington United W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Auckland United W has conceded goals in 51% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wellington United W VS Auckland United W
4.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington United W

(Home)
04 Oct
Wellington United W
0 : 1
Auckland United W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
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Auckland United W

(Away)
04 Oct
Wellington United W
0 : 1
Auckland United W
26 Sept
Auckland United W
5 : 0
Southern United W
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland United W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
3 Waterside Karori W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Fencibles W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Wellington United W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
7 West Coast Rangers W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
8 Canterbury United W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
9 Southern United W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)