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Wellington United W vs Eastern Suburbs W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wellington United W host Eastern Suburbs W in the National League Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Wellington United W at 2.69 goals for, 1.48 against; Eastern Suburbs W at 2.93 for, 0.77 against. Head-to-head, Wellington United W have won 1 to Eastern Suburbs W's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 12, 2025, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.18 - 1.16) back Eastern Suburbs W to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Wellington United W
15%
Draws
47%
Eastern Suburbs W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern Suburbs W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eastern Suburbs W lately — more wins on the board than Wellington United W.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern Suburbs W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington United W Eastern Suburbs W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.69 2.93
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.18 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Eastern Suburbs W
3:2
Nov 16, 2024 National League Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Wellington United W
2:2
Nov 5, 2023 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Eastern Suburbs W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington United W 31 / 100
Eastern Suburbs W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington United W Eastern Suburbs W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wellington United W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington United W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Wellington United W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Eastern Suburbs W has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wellington United W VS Eastern Suburbs W
3.86 Goals Scored 1.88
0.43 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington United W

(Home)
11 Oct
Fencibles W
1 : 2
Wellington United W
04 Oct
Wellington United W
0 : 1
Auckland United W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
Page 1 of 6

Eastern Suburbs W

(Away)
04 Oct
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
26 Sept
West Coast Rangers W
0 : 4
Eastern Suburbs W
05 Sept
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 1
Cashmere Technical W
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 0
Ellerslie W
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland United W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
3 Waterside Karori W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Fencibles W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Wellington United W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
7 West Coast Rangers W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
8 Canterbury United W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
9 Southern United W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)