Sport Picks
Wellington United W vs Southern United W
New Zealand
National League Women 
Match Events
8'
8'
Keen G.
52'
52'
Laskey S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington United W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Southern United W have won more games recently than Wellington United W.
- Model gives Wellington United W a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Southern United W have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 10%
Southern United W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington United W | Southern United W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 3.75 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.75 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 5, 2025 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Southern United W
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Southern United W
1:2
Oct 13, 2023 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Southern United W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wellington United W Compare
Top Goalscorer Laskey S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88
Southern United W Compare
Top Goalscorer Keen G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wellington United W 83 / 100
Southern United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wellington United W Southern United W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington United W found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).
Wellington United W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Southern United W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Wellington United W VS Southern United W
3.75 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington United W
(Home) 22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9 Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0 Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8 Wellington United W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
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22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0 Petone W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
12 Oct
Wellington United W
3 : 2 Eastern Suburbs W
05 Oct
Wellington United W
1 : 1 Southern United W
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Southern United W
(Away) 23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7 Western Springs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0 Southern United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0 Central Football W
01 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
2 : 0 Southern United W
25 Oct
Southern United W
4 : 0 Canterbury United W
Page 1 of 7
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0 Southern United W
01 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
2 : 0 Southern United W
18 Oct
Petone W
1 : 4 Southern United W
05 Oct
Wellington United W
1 : 1 Southern United W
16 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 1 Southern United W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland United W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 31:3 | 22 |
| 2 | Eastern Suburbs W | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 30:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Wellington United W | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 39:14 | 19 |
| 4 | West Coast Rangers W | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Southern United W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 13 |
| 6 | Western Springs W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 31:17 | 12 |
| 7 | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19:24 | 11 |
| 8 | Canterbury United W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:32 | 10 |
| 9 | Petone W | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:24 | 6 |
| 10 | Central Football W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0:69 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)
