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Wellington United W vs Waterside Karori W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wellington United W host Waterside Karori W in the National League Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Wellington United W at 2.71 goals for, 1.5 against; Waterside Karori W at 1.75 for, 1.67 against. Past meetings favor Wellington United W slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 9, 2024, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 3.12 vs 1.16, favoring Wellington United W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Wellington United W
15%
Draws
17%
Waterside Karori W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Waterside Karori W haven't matched Wellington United W's recent run of results.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Wellington United W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 20%
Waterside Karori W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington United W Waterside Karori W
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.71 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.12 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2024 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Waterside Karori W
1:1
Sep 23, 2023 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Wellington United W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington United W 85 / 100
Waterside Karori W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington United W Waterside Karori W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wellington United W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington United W scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Waterside Karori W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 24 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Wellington United W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington United W VS Waterside Karori W
4.38 Goals Scored 0.57
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.86
100% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 57%
88% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington United W

(Home)
04 Oct
Wellington United W
0 : 1
Auckland United W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
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Waterside Karori W

(Away)
03 Oct
West Coast Rangers W
1 : 2
Waterside Karori W
26 Sept
Waterside Karori W
0 : 1
Fencibles W
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0
Waterside Karori W
05 Jul
Waterside Karori W
1 : 4
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Dec
Auckland United W
3 : 1
Waterside Karori W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland United W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
3 Waterside Karori W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Fencibles W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Wellington United W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
7 West Coast Rangers W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
8 Canterbury United W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
9 Southern United W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)