Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wels vs Perg

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich 2022/2023
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wels in this Oberosterreich 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Wels
20%
Draws
57%
Perg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Wels haven't matched Perg's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Perg a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberosterreich 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wels Clean Sheet 19%
Perg Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wels Perg
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 4 14
Draws 4 11
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 1 1.73
Goals Conceded 3.54 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2023 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Wels
0:2
Nov 12, 2022 Oberosterreich
Wels vs Perg
2:1
Jun 4, 2021 Club Friendly
Perg vs Wels
1:3
May 11, 2018 Oberosterreich
Wels vs Perg
0:2
Oct 20, 2017 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Wels
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wels 10 / 100
Perg 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wels Perg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wels found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Perg let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Wels stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Perg
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wels

(Home)
07 Jun
Perg
0 : 2
Wels
02 Jun
Wels
1 : 1
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
26 May
Union Edelweiss Linz
10 : 1
Wels
19 May
Wels
1 : 3
Bad Ischl
12 May
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
5 : 1
Wels
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Perg

(Away)
15 Aug
Perg
2 : 0
Garsten
11 Aug
Gmunden
1 : 1
Perg
07 Aug
Perg
3 : 0
Vocklamarkt
12 Jun
Mondsee
4 : 2
Perg
03 Jun
Perg
5 : 1
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
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