Sport Picks
Welwalo Adigrat vs Dire Dawa Prediction & H2H Stats
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
10'
10'
Gebru D.
82'
82'
Sultan S.
82'
82'
Sultan S.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Welwalo Adigrat and Dire Dawa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Welwalo Adigrat.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Welwalo Adigrat
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Welwalo Adigrat come out ahead of Dire Dawa on wins alone.
- Welwalo Adigrat are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 68%
Dire Dawa Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Welwalo Adigrat | Dire Dawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 13 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Dire Dawa
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Dire Dawa vs Welwalo Adigrat
2:1
Jun 3, 2025 Premier League
Dire Dawa vs Welwalo Adigrat
1:3
Feb 3, 2025 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Dire Dawa
1:1
Apr 18, 2020 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Dire Dawa
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Welwalo Adigrat Compare
Top Goalscorer Gebru D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Dire Dawa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Welwalo Adigrat 59 / 100
Dire Dawa 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Welwalo Adigrat Dire Dawa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Welwalo Adigrat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Welwalo Adigrat scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Dire Dawa has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Welwalo Adigrat remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Welwalo Adigrat VS Dire Dawa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Welwalo Adigrat
(Home) 12 Sept
Welwalo Adigrat
3 : 1 Hilal Alsahil
04 Sept
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Welwalo Adigrat
3 : 1 Hilal Alsahil
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
25 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Page 1 of 3
Dire Dawa
(Away) 01 Jul
Dire Dawa
2 : 1 Arba Menche
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0 Sheger Ketema FC
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0 Dire Dawa
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0 Dire Dawa
20 May
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
11 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
3 : 0 Dire Dawa
29 Apr
Adama City
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
