Sport Picks
Welwalo Adigrat vs Sheger Ketema FC
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
22'
22'
Adugna H.
33'
33'
Konkoni H.
70'
70'
Haftey S.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Welwalo Adigrat and Sheger Ketema FC finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Welwalo Adigrat
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Welwalo Adigrat carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Welwalo Adigrat's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 68%
Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Welwalo Adigrat | Sheger Ketema FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 14 | 14 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 16, 2026 Premier League
Sheger Ketema FC vs Welwalo Adigrat
0:0
Jan 21, 2026 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Sheger Ketema FC
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Welwalo Adigrat Compare
Top Goalscorer Konkoni H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Sheger Ketema FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Adugna H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Welwalo Adigrat 51 / 100
Sheger Ketema FC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Welwalo Adigrat Sheger Ketema FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Welwalo Adigrat's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Welwalo Adigrat stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Sheger Ketema FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Welwalo Adigrat VS Sheger Ketema FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Welwalo Adigrat
(Home) 09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
16 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0 Welwalo Adigrat
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
25 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
16 May
Welwalo Adigrat
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 3
Sheger Ketema FC
(Away) 02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2 Sheger Ketema FC
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0 Mechal SC
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0 Sheger Ketema FC
16 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0 Welwalo Adigrat
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2 Sheger Ketema FC
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0 Sheger Ketema FC
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
15 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
04 May
Hawassa
1 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)