Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Bremen

ATSV Sebaldsbruck

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Werder Bremen III play ATSV Sebaldsbruck in the Oberliga Bremen. Werder Bremen III are favorites here. Recently, Werder Bremen III averaged 2 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. ATSV Sebaldsbruck averaged 1.47 goals scored and 3.67 conceded. In past meetings, Werder Bremen III won 2, ATSV Sebaldsbruck won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.13 for Werder Bremen III and 1.50 for ATSV Sebaldsbruck. This points to a Werder Bremen III double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%

Werder Bremen III

15%

Draws

19%

ATSV Sebaldsbruck

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Werder Bremen III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Werder Bremen III picked up more points recently compared to ATSV Sebaldsbruck.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.13 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 95%

Over 2.5 Goals 87%

Over 3.5 Goals 52%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Werder Bremen III Clean Sheet 16%

ATSV Sebaldsbruck Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 86%

Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Werder Bremen III	ATSV Sebaldsbruck
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	4
Draws	3	4
Losses	15	22
Goals Scored	2	1.47
Goals Conceded	2.23	3.67
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Oberliga Bremen

ATSV Sebaldsbruck vs Werder Bremen III

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

2:4

Nov 22, 2025 Oberliga Bremen

Werder Bremen III vs ATSV Sebaldsbruck

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 4 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Werder Bremen III 63 / 100

ATSV Sebaldsbruck 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Werder Bremen III ATSV Sebaldsbruck

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Werder Bremen III Win (1)

Secondary Pick Werder Bremen III & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.5%

1.72

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7%

1.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Werder Bremen III attacking → ← attacking ATSV Sebaldsbruck

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Werder Bremen III scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

ATSV Sebaldsbruck let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Werder Bremen III went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

ATSV Sebaldsbruck lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 16

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Blumenthaler	30	24	3	3	95:35	75
2	Hemelingen	30	23	4	3	111:31	73
3	OSC Bremerhaven	30	20	4	6	86:40	64
4	Eiche Horn	30	20	2	8	69:37	62
5	Brinkumer	30	16	5	9	81:50	53
6	BTS Neustadt	30	16	2	12	86:73	50
7	Union 60 Bremen	30	15	3	12	72:65	48
8	Werder Bremen III	30	12	3	15	60:67	39
9	Oberneuland	30	10	6	14	65:58	36
10	ESC Geestemunde	30	10	5	15	56:81	35
11	Leher	30	10	4	16	52:62	34
12	Aumund-Vegesack	30	11	1	18	55:79	34
13	Vatan Bremen	30	9	2	19	49:91	29
14	Woltmershausen	30	6	5	19	43:90	23
15	Habenhauser	30	7	1	22	42:97	22
16	ATSV Sebaldsbruck	30	4	4	22	44:110	16