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Werder Bremen III vs Aumund-Vegesack Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Werder Bremen III in this Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Werder Bremen III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Werder Bremen III
20%
Draws
51%
Aumund-Vegesack
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aumund-Vegesack

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Werder Bremen III average 2.28 goals a game right now, well clear of Aumund-Vegesack's 2.2.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Aumund-Vegesack taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • History favors Aumund-Vegesack here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Werder Bremen III Clean Sheet 20%
Aumund-Vegesack Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Werder Bremen III Aumund-Vegesack
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 2
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 2.28 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.34 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Werder Bremen III vs Aumund-Vegesack
5:2
Oct 31, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Werder Bremen III
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Werder Bremen III
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Werder Bremen III vs Aumund-Vegesack
1:3
May 3, 2023 Oberliga Bremen
Werder Bremen III vs Aumund-Vegesack
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Werder Bremen III 12 / 100
Aumund-Vegesack 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Werder Bremen III Aumund-Vegesack

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aumund-Vegesack Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Werder Bremen III's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aumund-Vegesack has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Werder Bremen III went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Werder Bremen III VS Aumund-Vegesack
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Werder Bremen III

(Home)
25 Sept
Werder Bremen III
1 : 1
Leher
20 Sept
Grohn
2 : 1
Werder Bremen III
12 Sept
Werder Bremen III
3 : 1
BTS Neustadt
06 Sept
Schwachhausen
1 : 0
Werder Bremen III
28 Aug
ESC Geestemunde
5 : 2
Werder Bremen III
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Aumund-Vegesack

(Away)
26 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
1 : 1
Hemelingen
19 Sept
Woltmershausen
1 : 7
Aumund-Vegesack
12 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
2 : 3
Union 60 Bremen
04 Sept
Oberneuland
2 : 3
Aumund-Vegesack
29 Aug
Aumund-Vegesack
2 : 3
Brinkumer
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blumenthaler 30 24 3 3 95:35 75
2 Hemelingen 30 23 4 3 111:31 73
3 OSC Bremerhaven 30 20 4 6 86:40 64
4 Eiche Horn 30 20 2 8 69:37 62
5 Brinkumer 30 16 5 9 81:50 53
6 BTS Neustadt 30 16 2 12 86:73 50
7 Union 60 Bremen 30 15 3 12 72:65 48
8 Werder Bremen III 30 12 3 15 60:67 39
9 Oberneuland 30 10 6 14 65:58 36
10 ESC Geestemunde 30 10 5 15 56:81 35
11 Leher 30 10 4 16 52:62 34
12 Aumund-Vegesack 30 11 1 18 55:79 34
13 Vatan Bremen 30 9 2 19 49:91 29
14 Woltmershausen 30 6 5 19 43:90 23
15 Habenhauser 30 7 1 22 42:97 22
16 ATSV Sebaldsbruck 30 4 4 22 44:110 16
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 (Play Offs)