Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Werder Bremen III vs ESC Geestemunde

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Werder Bremen III play ESC Geestemunde in the Oberliga Bremen. It looks like a close match. Recently, Werder Bremen III averaged 2.25 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. ESC Geestemunde averaged 1.75 goals scored and 3.63 conceded. In past meetings, Werder Bremen III won 1, ESC Geestemunde won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.94 for Werder Bremen III and 1.94 for ESC Geestemunde. This points to a Werder Bremen III double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Werder Bremen III
6%
Draws
4%
ESC Geestemunde
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Werder Bremen III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Werder Bremen III has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to ESC Geestemunde.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Werder Bremen III.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Oberliga Bremen provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Werder Bremen III Clean Sheet 10%
ESC Geestemunde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Werder Bremen III ESC Geestemunde
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Werder Bremen III vs ESC Geestemunde
5:1
Oct 12, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Werder Bremen III vs ESC Geestemunde
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III
3:3
Mar 25, 2023 Oberliga Bremen
Werder Bremen III vs ESC Geestemunde
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Werder Bremen III 83 / 100
ESC Geestemunde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Werder Bremen III ESC Geestemunde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Werder Bremen III scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

ESC Geestemunde let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Werder Bremen III went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

ESC Geestemunde lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Werder Bremen III VS ESC Geestemunde
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blumenthaler30243395:3575
2Hemelingen302343111:3173
3OSC Bremerhaven30204686:4064
4Eiche Horn30202869:3762
5Brinkumer30165981:5053
6BTS Neustadt301621286:7350
7Union 60 Bremen301531272:6548
8Werder Bremen III301231560:6739
9Oberneuland301061465:5836
10ESC Geestemunde301051556:8135
11Leher301041652:6234
12Aumund-Vegesack301111855:7934
13Vatan Bremen30921949:9129
14Woltmershausen30651943:9023
15Habenhauser30712242:9722
16ATSV Sebaldsbruck30442244:11016