Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Werder Bremen vs Augsburg

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Weserstadion, Bremen
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Massengo H.
18' Event
Fellhauer R.
Assist: Rieder F.
27'
Arthur

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga game between Werder Bremen and Augsburg finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Werder Bremen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Werder Bremen
20%
Draws
40%
Augsburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Augsburg come out ahead of Werder Bremen on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Werder Bremen taking it.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 10%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Werder Bremen Augsburg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.53 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Augsburg
3:2
May 2, 2026 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Augsburg
1:3
Dec 20, 2025 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Werder Bremen
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Augsburg
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Werder Bremen
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Werder Bremen Compare

Top Goalscorer Grull M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fullkrug N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Augsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Fellhauer R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brackelmann C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Werder Bremen 34 / 100
Augsburg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Werder Bremen Augsburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augsburg let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Werder Bremen scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Werder Bremen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Werder Bremen VS Augsburg
1.75 Goals Scored 3.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Werder Bremen

(Home)
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2
Augsburg
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1
Werder Bremen
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1
RB Leipzig
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1
Werder Bremen
22 Aug
Luneburger Hansa
0 : 3
Werder Bremen
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Augsburg

(Away)
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2
Augsburg
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
06 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 4
Augsburg
30 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 0
Schalke
22 Aug
Energie Cottbus
0 : 2
Augsburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
3 Freiburg 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
4 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
5 Bayer Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 Mainz 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
7 Elversberg 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
8 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 2 0 2 9:5 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 9:10 5
11 Schalke 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Paderborn 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
13 1. FC Koln 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Hoffenheim 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 1 0 3 6:9 3
16 Hamburger 4 1 0 3 2:13 3
17 Union Berlin 4 0 1 3 4:17 1
18 B. Monchengladbach 4 0 0 4 6:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)