Sport Picks
Werder Bremen vs Augsburg
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 Weserstadion, Bremen 
Match Events
14'
14'
Massengo H.
24'
24'
Kade A.
Assist: Gregoritsch M.
36'
36'
Sub
Massengo H. In: Jakic K.
Out: Massengo H.
AI Match Summary
Augsburg in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Augsburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Werder Bremen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Augsburg lately — more wins on the board than Werder Bremen.
- Augsburg are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 10%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Werder Bremen | Augsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Augsburg
1:3
Dec 20, 2025 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Werder Bremen
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Augsburg
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Werder Bremen
2:2
Apr 27, 2024 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Werder Bremen
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Werder Bremen Compare
Top Goalscorer Schmid R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Augsburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Kade A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jakic K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Werder Bremen 22 / 100
Augsburg 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Werder Bremen Augsburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Augsburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Werder Bremen scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Augsburg let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Werder Bremen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Werder Bremen VS Augsburg
2 Goals Scored 3.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Werder Bremen
(Home) 15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1 Auxerre
08 Aug
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
01 Aug
Energie Cottbus
2 : 4 Werder Bremen
25 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0 Bochum
22 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0 Okayama
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1 Auxerre
08 Aug
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
25 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0 Bochum
22 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0 Okayama
16 May
Werder Bremen
0 : 2 Dortmund
Page 1 of 4
Augsburg
(Away) 15 Aug
Leeds
4 : 0 Augsburg
08 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 2 Sassuolo
05 Aug
Schwaz
0 : 15 Augsburg
30 Jul
Augsburg
2 : 5 Bournemouth
25 Jul
Augsburg
1 : 1 Saarbrucken
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Leeds
4 : 0 Augsburg
05 Aug
Schwaz
0 : 15 Augsburg
16 May
Union Berlin
4 : 0 Augsburg
02 May
Werder Bremen
1 : 3 Augsburg
18 Apr
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 2 Augsburg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
