Sport Picks
Werder Bremen vs Dortmund Prediction & H2H Stats
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 Weserstadion, Bremen 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Pieper A. In: Friedl M.
Out: Pieper A.
53'
53'
Sub
Schmidt I. In: Grull M.
Out: Schmidt I.
59'
59'
Guirassy S.
Assist: Ryerson J.
AI Match Summary
Dortmund in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dortmund.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dortmund
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dortmund have won more games recently than Werder Bremen.
- Dortmund are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 12%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Werder Bremen | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 20 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Dortmund
0:2
Jan 13, 2026 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
3:0
Jan 25, 2025 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
2:2
Aug 31, 2024 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Dortmund
0:0
Mar 9, 2024 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Dortmund
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Werder Bremen Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Dortmund Compare
Top Goalscorer Guirassy S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Couto Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Werder Bremen 10 / 100
Dortmund 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Werder Bremen Dortmund
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dortmund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Werder Bremen scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Dortmund conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Werder Bremen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Werder Bremen VS Dortmund
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Werder Bremen
(Home) 19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2 Augsburg
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1 Werder Bremen
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Werder Bremen
22 Aug
Luneburger Hansa
0 : 3 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2 Augsburg
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1 Auxerre
08 Aug
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
25 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0 Bochum
Page 1 of 4
Dortmund
(Away) 19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0 Paderborn
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2 Villarreal
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5 Dortmund
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5 Dortmund
09 Aug
Arsenal
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Aug
FC Tokyo
0 : 1 Dortmund
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
