Sport Picks
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga Weserstadion, Bremen 
Match Events
4'
4'
Dinkci E.
Assist: Chuki
23'
23'
Chuki
63'
63'
Sub
Bakayoko J. In: Gomis T.
Out: Bakayoko J.
AI Match Summary
Werder Bremen in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Werder Bremen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Werder Bremen haven't matched RB Leipzig's recent run of results.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on RB Leipzig taking it.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 10%
RB Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Werder Bremen | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig
3:1
Apr 4, 2026 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen
2:0
May 10, 2025 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Werder Bremen Compare
Top Goalscorer Dinkci E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fullkrug N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
RB Leipzig Compare
Top Goalscorer Baku R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Werder Bremen 26 / 100
RB Leipzig 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Werder Bremen RB Leipzig
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RB Leipzig Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Werder Bremen scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.
RB Leipzig has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Werder Bremen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Werder Bremen VS RB Leipzig
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Werder Bremen
(Home) 17 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2 Werder Bremen
02 Oct
Twente
7 : 0 Werder Bremen
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2 Augsburg
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2 Augsburg
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1 Auxerre
08 Aug
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
Page 1 of 3
RB Leipzig
(Away) 21 Oct
Real Madrid
4 : 1 RB Leipzig
17 Oct
Bayern Munich
6 : 1 RB Leipzig
13 Oct
RB Leipzig
1 : 0 PSV
10 Oct
RB Leipzig
6 : 0 Eintracht Frankfurt
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 RB Leipzig
Page 1 of 6
21 Oct
Real Madrid
4 : 1 RB Leipzig
17 Oct
Bayern Munich
6 : 1 RB Leipzig
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 RB Leipzig
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1 RB Leipzig
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Mainz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Hamburger | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 12 | 1. FC Koln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Schalke | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 16 | Paderborn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8:20 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
