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Werder Bremen W vs Freiburg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Weserstadion Platz 11, Bremen
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Werder Bremen W host Freiburg W in the Bundesliga Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Freiburg W have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Werder Bremen W have conceded 1.2 and scored 1.6. Past meetings favor Freiburg W slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 21, 2025, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.25) point toward Freiburg W. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Werder Bremen W
15%
Draws
48%
Freiburg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freiburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Werder Bremen W have managed 1.6 goals a game lately — Freiburg W are scoring more at 1.66.
  • Win probability leans Werder Bremen W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Freiburg W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Werder Bremen W Clean Sheet 19%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Werder Bremen W Freiburg W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Werder Bremen W
3:0
Sep 7, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs Freiburg W
1:1
May 11, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Werder Bremen W
3:2
Dec 8, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs Freiburg W
0:3
Feb 17, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs Freiburg W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Werder Bremen W 36 / 100
Freiburg W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Werder Bremen W Freiburg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Werder Bremen W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Freiburg W conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Werder Bremen W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Werder Bremen W VS Freiburg W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Werder Bremen W

(Home)
02 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
26 Sept
Bochum W
0 : 1
Werder Bremen W
21 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 1
VfB Stuttgart W
11 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 0
Hamburger W
06 Sept
Wolfsburg W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
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Freiburg W

(Away)
03 Oct
Koln W
0 : 1
Freiburg W
26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2
Freiburg W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1
Freiburg W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 6 6 0 0 19:6 18
2 Wolfsburg W 6 5 0 1 18:8 15
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
5 Werder Bremen W 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Freiburg W 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Koln W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 VfB Stuttgart W 6 2 2 2 8:12 8
9 RB Leipzig W 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
10 Union Berlin W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
11 Hoffenheim W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Hamburger W 6 1 2 3 9:8 5
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 6 0 2 4 9:21 2
14 Mainz W 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)