Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Werder Bremen W vs Hamburger W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Weserstadion Platz 11, Bremen
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Stoldt S.
49' Event
Jaron I.
Assist: Vanzeir L.
62'
Sub
Bartz P. In: Martens L.
Out: Bartz P.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women game between Werder Bremen W and Hamburger W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Werder Bremen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Werder Bremen W
30%
Draws
23%
Hamburger W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Werder Bremen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Werder Bremen W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Werder Bremen W a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Werder Bremen W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Werder Bremen W Clean Sheet 15%
Hamburger W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Werder Bremen W Hamburger W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.8 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs Hamburger W
1:0
Aug 16, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Werder Bremen W vs Hamburger W
5:1
Feb 21, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs Werder Bremen W
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs Hamburger W
2:0
Mar 23, 2025 DFB Pokal Women
Hamburger W vs Werder Bremen W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Werder Bremen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaron I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Hamburger W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Werder Bremen W 84 / 100
Hamburger W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Werder Bremen W Hamburger W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Werder Bremen W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamburger W let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Werder Bremen W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Werder Bremen W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Werder Bremen W VS Hamburger W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Werder Bremen W

(Home)
21 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 1
VfB Stuttgart W
11 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 0
Hamburger W
06 Sept
Wolfsburg W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
30 Aug
Werder Bremen W
2 : 0
RB Leipzig W
24 Aug
Mainz W
1 : 2
Werder Bremen W
Page 1 of 6

Hamburger W

(Away)
20 Sept
Hamburger W
5 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
11 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 0
Hamburger W
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1
RB Leipzig W
29 Aug
VfB Stuttgart W
2 : 1
Hamburger W
23 Aug
Hamburger W
1 : 1
Freiburg W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Eintracht Frankfurt W 5 4 1 0 11:5 13
3 Wolfsburg W 5 4 0 1 16:7 12
4 Werder Bremen W 5 3 1 1 8:5 10
5 Koln W 5 3 0 2 10:7 9
6 Bayer Leverkusen W 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
7 VfB Stuttgart W 5 2 2 1 8:8 8
8 Freiburg W 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
9 Hamburger W 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
10 RB Leipzig W 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
11 Hoffenheim W 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
12 Union Berlin W 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 5 0 2 3 8:19 2
14 Mainz W 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)