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West Adelaide vs Adelaide Comets

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Kilburn Sportsplex, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Stam R.
66' Event
Ivanic M.
90' Event
Tsimopoulos A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between West Adelaide and Adelaide Comets finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward West Adelaide.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
West Adelaide
20%
Draws
40%
Adelaide Comets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Adelaide Comets haven't matched West Adelaide's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
West Adelaide Clean Sheet 18%
Adelaide Comets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Adelaide Adelaide Comets
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs West Adelaide
3:2
Mar 13, 2026 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Adelaide Comets
3:0
Jul 15, 2023 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Adelaide Comets
2:2
Apr 25, 2023 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs West Adelaide
1:1
May 25, 2019 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Adelaide Comets
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Adelaide Compare

Top Goalscorer Stam R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ivanic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Adelaide Comets Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Adelaide 36 / 100
Adelaide Comets 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Adelaide Adelaide Comets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide Comets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

West Adelaide's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Adelaide Comets conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

West Adelaide has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

West Adelaide VS Adelaide Comets
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

West Adelaide

(Home)
15 Aug
West Adelaide
1 : 2
Playford Patriots
07 Aug
West Torrens Birkalla
6 : 1
West Adelaide
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1
Para
25 Jul
MetroStars
1 : 3
West Adelaide
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0
Sturt Lions FC
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Adelaide Comets

(Away)
15 Aug
Para
2 : 5
Adelaide Comets
11 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
0 : 0
Adelaide Comets
07 Aug
Adelaide Comets
0 : 1
MetroStars
25 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 0
FK Beograd
17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0
Adelaide Comets
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)