Sport Picks
West Adelaide vs Croydon
Australia
NPL South Australia Kilburn Sportsplex, Adelaide 
Match Events
2'
2'
Stam R.
12'
12'
Muradi A.
14'
14'
Shrestha K.
AI Match Summary
The NPL South Australia game between West Adelaide and Croydon finished 5-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: West Adelaide
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- West Adelaide haven't matched Croydon's recent run of results.
- 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
West Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%
Croydon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | West Adelaide | Croydon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Croydon
5:5
Mar 21, 2026 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs West Adelaide
1:2
Jul 8, 2023 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs West Adelaide
3:1
Apr 22, 2023 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Croydon
1:0
Jul 20, 2019 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Croydon
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
West Adelaide Compare
Top Goalscorer Stam R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Muradi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Croydon Compare
Top Goalscorer Trimboli L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Slattery O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
West Adelaide 29 / 100
Croydon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
West Adelaide Croydon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick West Adelaide Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
West Adelaide's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Croydon let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
West Adelaide went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
West Adelaide VS Croydon
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
West Adelaide
(Home) 15 Aug
West Adelaide
1 : 2 Playford Patriots
07 Aug
West Torrens Birkalla
6 : 1 West Adelaide
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1 Para
25 Jul
MetroStars
1 : 3 West Adelaide
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
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15 Aug
West Adelaide
1 : 2 Playford Patriots
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1 Para
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
20 Jun
West Adelaide
5 : 5 Croydon
07 Jun
West Adelaide
3 : 1 Adelaide Utd U23
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Croydon
(Away) 22 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0 Croydon
15 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0 Croydon
08 Aug
Croydon
1 : 1 Sturt Lions FC
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3 Croydon
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2 Campbelltown City
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22 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0 Croydon
15 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0 Croydon
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3 Croydon
18 Jul
Adelaide City
2 : 2 Croydon
03 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 4 Croydon
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 44:16 | 48 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 54:29 | 45 |
| 3 | MetroStars | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 53:23 | 44 |
| 4 | Playford Patriots | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 42:31 | 35 |
| 5 | FK Beograd | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 35:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Croydon | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 46:41 | 30 |
| 7 | Adelaide Utd U23 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 33:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Campbelltown City | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 35:36 | 29 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions FC | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 35:36 | 27 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 40:44 | 25 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25:38 | 20 |
| 12 | Para | 22 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16:102 | 2 |
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)
