Sport Picks
West Adelaide vs Sturt Lions FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL South Australia Kilburn Sportsplex, Adelaide 
Match Events
51'
51'
Muradi A.
51'
51'
Muradi A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL South Australia matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- West Adelaide haven't matched Sturt Lions FC's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
West Adelaide Clean Sheet 14%
Sturt Lions FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | West Adelaide | Sturt Lions FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Sturt Lions FC
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 NPL South Australia
Sturt Lions FC vs West Adelaide
4:3
Sep 13, 2025 SA State League
Sturt Lions FC vs West Adelaide
2:3
Jul 5, 2025 SA State League
West Adelaide vs Sturt Lions FC
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 SA State League
Sturt Lions FC vs West Adelaide
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
West Adelaide 31 / 100
Sturt Lions FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
West Adelaide Sturt Lions FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sturt Lions FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
West Adelaide found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Sturt Lions FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: West Adelaide stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
West Adelaide VS Sturt Lions FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
West Adelaide
(Home) 15 Aug
West Adelaide
1 : 2 Playford Patriots
07 Aug
West Torrens Birkalla
6 : 1 West Adelaide
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1 Para
25 Jul
MetroStars
1 : 3 West Adelaide
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
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15 Aug
West Adelaide
1 : 2 Playford Patriots
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1 Para
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
20 Jun
West Adelaide
5 : 5 Croydon
07 Jun
West Adelaide
3 : 1 Adelaide Utd U23
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Sturt Lions FC
(Away) 15 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
1 : 3 Campbelltown City
11 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
0 : 0 Adelaide Comets
08 Aug
Croydon
1 : 1 Sturt Lions FC
25 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
2 : 3 Sturt Lions FC
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
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08 Aug
Croydon
1 : 1 Sturt Lions FC
25 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
2 : 3 Sturt Lions FC
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
26 Jun
West Torrens Birkalla
4 : 1 Sturt Lions FC
13 Jun
MetroStars
1 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 44:16 | 48 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 54:29 | 45 |
| 3 | MetroStars | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 53:23 | 44 |
| 4 | Playford Patriots | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 42:31 | 35 |
| 5 | FK Beograd | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 35:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Croydon | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 46:41 | 30 |
| 7 | Adelaide Utd U23 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 33:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Campbelltown City | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 35:36 | 29 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions FC | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 35:36 | 27 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 40:44 | 25 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25:38 | 20 |
| 12 | Para | 22 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16:102 | 2 |
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)
