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Stadium Background

West Brom vs Swansea

England England

Championship 2025/2026 The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Vipotnik Z.
Assist: Franco G.
11' Event
Galbraith E.
Assist: Franco G.
32'
Phillips N.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between West Brom and Swansea finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward West Brom.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
West Brom
30%
Draws
39%
Swansea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Swansea come out ahead of West Brom on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Swansea taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
West Brom Clean Sheet 20%
Swansea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Brom Swansea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 FA Cup
Swansea vs West Brom
2:3
Jan 1, 2026 Championship
Swansea vs West Brom
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Championship
West Brom vs Swansea
3:2
Jan 4, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs West Brom
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Championship
West Brom vs Swansea
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Brom Compare

Top Goalscorer Heggebo A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Molumby J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Vipotnik Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galbraith E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Brom 20 / 100
Swansea 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Brom Swansea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

West Brom found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Swansea let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: West Brom remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

West Brom VS Swansea
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

West Brom

(Home)
20 Sept
Wolves
1 : 0
West Brom
12 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1
QPR
09 Sept
Derby
0 : 1
West Brom
05 Sept
West Brom
1 : 0
Watford
02 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1
Charlton
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Swansea

(Away)
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1
Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0
Watford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 97:45 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 80:47 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 71
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 67:59 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 63:56 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 57:56 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 57:59 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 66:66 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 55:62 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 61:73 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 44:58 53
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 42:56 52
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 48:58 51
22 Oxford Utd 46 11 14 21 45:59 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 58:68 46
24 Sheffield Wed 46 2 12 32 29:89 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)