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West Brom W vs Loughborough Lightning W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League North
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

West Brom W host Loughborough Lightning W in the Women's National League North. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. West Brom W have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Loughborough Lightning W's 1.07 scored and 2.07 conceded. Head-to-head, West Brom W have won 2 to Loughborough Lightning W's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Dec 7, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.69, favoring West Brom W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
West Brom W
15%
Draws
31%
Loughborough Lightning W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West Brom W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • West Brom W have won more games recently than Loughborough Lightning W.
  • Model gives West Brom W a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Women's National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
West Brom W Clean Sheet 13%
Loughborough Lightning W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Brom W Loughborough Lightning W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 Women's National League North
West Brom W vs Loughborough Lightning W
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs West Brom W
1:1
Apr 20, 2023 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs West Brom W
1:2
Aug 28, 2022 Women's National League North
West Brom W vs Loughborough Lightning W
4:1
Feb 13, 2022 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs West Brom W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Brom W 84 / 100
Loughborough Lightning W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Brom W Loughborough Lightning W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Brom W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loughborough Lightning W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

West Brom W found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: West Brom W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

West Brom W VS Loughborough Lightning W
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

West Brom W

(Home)
04 Oct
Derby W
0 : 3
West Brom W
20 Sept
West Brom W
1 : 0
Rugby Borough W
13 Sept
Liverpool Feds W
2 : 3
West Brom W
30 Aug
West Brom W
3 : 1
Peterborough W
23 Aug
Middlesbrough W
1 : 0
West Brom W
Page 1 of 7

Loughborough Lightning W

(Away)
04 Oct
Loughborough Lightning W
2 : 3
Norwich W
20 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
13 Sept
Peterborough W
2 : 3
Loughborough Lightning W
30 Aug
Loughborough Lightning W
1 : 0
Stoke City LFC W
23 Aug
Huddersfield W
5 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rugby Borough W 6 5 0 1 12:1 15
2 Huddersfield W 6 4 2 0 16:8 14
3 West Brom W 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
4 Stoke City LFC W 6 3 2 1 13:5 11
5 Liverpool Feds W 6 3 0 3 14:11 9
6 Norwich W 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Loughborough Lightning W 6 2 1 3 10:14 7
8 Boldmere St Michaels W 6 1 3 2 8:13 6
9 Derby W 6 2 0 4 6:11 6
10 Peterborough W 6 2 0 4 7:16 6
11 Hull City W 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
12 Middlesbrough W 6 1 0 5 1:6 3
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