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West Ham vs Charlton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship London Stadium, London
West Ham Logo

West Ham

1 - 2
FT
Charlton Logo

Charlton

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Jones L.
Assist: Carey S.
46'
Sub
Kante M. In: Orford L.
Out: Kante M.
47'
Kilman M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Charlton in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
West Ham
20%
Draws
10%
Charlton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: West Ham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • West Ham have won more games recently than Charlton.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on West Ham taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
West Ham Clean Sheet 20%
Charlton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Ham Charlton
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.21 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Championship
West Ham vs Charlton
1:2
Sep 15, 2020 EFL Cup
West Ham vs Charlton
3:0
Jul 25, 2015 Club Friendly
Charlton vs West Ham
0:0
Feb 24, 2007 Premier League
Charlton vs West Ham
4:0
Aug 19, 2006 Premier League
West Ham vs Charlton
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Ham Compare

Top Goalscorer Piroe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Charlton Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campbell T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Ham 85 / 100
Charlton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Ham Charlton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Ham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

West Ham's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Charlton let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: West Ham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

West Ham VS Charlton
2.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

West Ham

(Home)
04 Nov
Cardiff
3 : 3
West Ham
31 Oct
West Ham
1 : 3
West Brom
24 Oct
West Ham
2 : 3
Southampton
17 Oct
Swansea
0 : 1
West Ham
14 Oct
Lincoln City
0 : 6
West Ham
Page 1 of 6

Charlton

(Away)
03 Nov
Charlton
0 : 1
Bolton
31 Oct
Middlesbrough
3 : 0
Charlton
24 Oct
Charlton
1 : 3
Norwich
17 Oct
Watford
2 : 0
Charlton
13 Oct
Burnley
2 : 2
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 30:19 28
2 Wolves 14 8 3 3 25:17 27
3 Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22:17 26
5 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
6 West Brom 14 7 4 3 20:15 25
7 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29:14 24
8 West Ham 14 6 5 3 36:21 23
9 Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 20:17 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19:16 22
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22:17 21
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27:24 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20:22 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 16:19 18
16 Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17:19 17
17 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19:26 17
18 Cardiff 14 3 6 5 22:23 15
19 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14:24 15
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13:23 14
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11:22 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18:26 10
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
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