Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Piroe J.
Assist: Castellanos T.
21'
21'
Mowatt A.
22'
22'
Sub
Brewster R. In: Ozoh D.
Out: Brewster R.
AI Match Summary
West Ham in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored West Ham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West Ham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to West Ham lately — more wins on the board than Derby.
- Model gives West Ham a 68% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and West Ham have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
West Ham Clean Sheet 20%
Derby Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | West Ham | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Championship
West Ham vs Derby
3:0
Jan 30, 2023 FA Cup
Derby vs West Ham
0:2
Dec 31, 2011 Championship
Derby vs West Ham
2:1
Nov 26, 2011 Championship
West Ham vs Derby
3:1
Apr 19, 2008 Premier League
West Ham vs Derby
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
West Ham Compare
Top Goalscorer Piroe J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Austbo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Derby Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
West Ham 85 / 100
Derby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
West Ham Derby
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick West Ham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
West Ham found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Derby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
West Ham went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
West Ham VS Derby
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
West Ham
(Home) 15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3 Fulham
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0 Wrexham
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3 West Ham
05 Sept
West Ham
3 : 0 Derby
01 Sept
West Ham
4 : 2 Wolves
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3 Fulham
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0 Wrexham
05 Sept
West Ham
3 : 0 Derby
01 Sept
West Ham
4 : 2 Wolves
22 Aug
West Ham
1 : 2 Charlton
Page 1 of 3
Derby
(Away) 12 Sept
Derby
1 : 2 Birmingham
09 Sept
Derby
0 : 1 West Brom
05 Sept
West Ham
3 : 0 Derby
01 Sept
Portsmouth
0 : 2 Derby
29 Aug
Derby
0 : 3 Swansea
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
West Ham
3 : 0 Derby
01 Sept
Portsmouth
0 : 2 Derby
15 Aug
Charlton
2 : 1 Derby
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 Derby
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 5 | QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 12 |
| 7 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Lincoln City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 11 |
| 9 | Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 11 | Millwall | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 12 | Stoke City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 14 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
