Sport Picks

Stadium Background

West Ham vs Fulham

England England

EFL Cup London Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Rodrigo Muniz
Assist: Palacios C.
16' Event
Morato
Assist: Mavropanos K.
37' Event
Palacios C.
Assist: Andersen J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
West Ham
15%
Draws
31%
Fulham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West Ham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to West Ham lately — more wins on the board than Fulham.
  • Win probability leans West Ham's way, sitting at 90%.
  • West Ham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fulham, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
West Ham Clean Sheet 17%
Fulham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Ham Fulham
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 EFL Cup
West Ham vs Fulham
2:3
Mar 4, 2026 Premier League
Fulham vs West Ham
0:1
Dec 27, 2025 Premier League
West Ham vs Fulham
0:1
Jan 14, 2025 Premier League
West Ham vs Fulham
3:2
Sep 14, 2024 Premier League
Fulham vs West Ham
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Ham Compare

Top Goalscorer Morato
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pablo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Fulham Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Muniz
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Ham 84 / 100
Fulham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Ham Fulham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Ham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

West Ham scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Fulham let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: West Ham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

West Ham VS Fulham
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

West Ham

(Home)
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3
Fulham
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0
Wrexham
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3
West Ham
05 Sept
West Ham
3 : 0
Derby
01 Sept
West Ham
4 : 2
Wolves
Page 1 of 6

Fulham

(Away)
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3
Fulham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0
Fulham
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3
Crystal Palace
30 Aug
Sunderland
1 : 0
Fulham
27 Aug
Fulham
3 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -