Sport Picks

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West Ham vs Leeds

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 London Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Bijol J.
25'
Aaronson B.
46'
Sub
Pablo In: Wilson C.
Out: Pablo

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between West Ham and Leeds finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward West Ham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
West Ham
30%
Draws
35%
Leeds
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Leeds carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans West Ham's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
West Ham Clean Sheet 18%
Leeds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Ham Leeds
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
West Ham vs Leeds
3:0
Apr 5, 2026 FA Cup
West Ham vs Leeds
2:3
Oct 24, 2025 Premier League
Leeds vs West Ham
2:1
May 21, 2023 Premier League
West Ham vs Leeds
3:1
Jan 4, 2023 Premier League
Leeds vs West Ham
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Ham Compare

Top Goalscorer Castellanos T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bowen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Leeds Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Ham 49 / 100
Leeds 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Ham Leeds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WHU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Solid form: West Ham remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

West Ham scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Leeds has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

West Ham VS Leeds
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

West Ham

(Home)
08 Aug
West Ham
3 : 1
Portsmouth
01 Aug
Magdeburg
1 : 1
West Ham
26 Jul
Rangers
0 : 0
West Ham
22 Jul
Stevenage
0 : 5
West Ham
18 Jul
Southend
1 : 1
West Ham
Page 1 of 6

Leeds

(Away)
08 Aug
Leeds
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
02 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 4
Leeds
30 Jul
Sunderland
0 : 1
Leeds
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2
Leeds
24 May
West Ham
3 : 0
Leeds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77:35 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56:49 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 60
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 54
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 52:46 53
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 53
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58:52 52
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 52
12 Newcastle Utd 38 14 7 17 53:55 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 49
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 49:56 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 45
16 Nottingham 38 11 11 16 48:51 44
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 48:57 41
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 46:65 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38:75 22
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 27:68 20
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)