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West Ham vs Wolves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship London Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Mukasa D.
Assist: Engels A.
42' Event
Bowen J.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Munetsi M.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between West Ham and Wolves finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward West Ham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
West Ham
20%
Draws
52%
Wolves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • West Ham haven't matched Wolves's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
West Ham Clean Sheet 17%
Wolves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Ham Wolves
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.21 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Championship
West Ham vs Wolves
4:2
Apr 10, 2026 Premier League
West Ham vs Wolves
4:0
Jan 3, 2026 Premier League
Wolves vs West Ham
3:0
Aug 26, 2025 EFL Cup
Wolves vs West Ham
3:2
Apr 1, 2025 Premier League
Wolves vs West Ham
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Ham Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukasa D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mavropanos K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Munetsi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Ham 31 / 100
Wolves 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Ham Wolves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

West Ham scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Wolves let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: West Ham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

West Ham VS Wolves
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

West Ham

(Home)
04 Nov
Cardiff
3 : 3
West Ham
31 Oct
West Ham
1 : 3
West Brom
24 Oct
West Ham
2 : 3
Southampton
17 Oct
Swansea
0 : 1
West Ham
14 Oct
Lincoln City
0 : 6
West Ham
Page 1 of 6

Wolves

(Away)
04 Nov
Bristol City
1 : 2
Wolves
31 Oct
Wolves
3 : 0
Cardiff
24 Oct
Wolves
1 : 0
Watford
20 Oct
Wolves
1 : 1
Portsmouth
16 Oct
Burnley
1 : 2
Wolves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 30:19 28
2 Wolves 14 8 3 3 25:17 27
3 Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22:17 26
5 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
6 West Brom 14 7 4 3 20:15 25
7 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29:14 24
8 West Ham 14 6 5 3 36:21 23
9 Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 20:17 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19:16 22
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22:17 21
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27:24 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20:22 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 16:19 18
16 Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17:19 17
17 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19:26 17
18 Cardiff 14 3 6 5 22:23 15
19 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14:24 15
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13:23 14
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11:22 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18:26 10
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)