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West Ham W vs Chelsea W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL Chigwell Construction Stadium, Essex
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Kaptein W.
38' Event
Malard M.
46'
Sub
Nusken S. In: Potter A.
Out: Nusken S.

AI Match Summary

Chelsea W in this WSL matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelsea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
West Ham W
15%
Draws
58%
Chelsea W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Chelsea W have won more games recently than West Ham W.
  • Win probability leans Chelsea W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular WSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chelsea W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
West Ham W Clean Sheet 10%
Chelsea W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Ham W Chelsea W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 24
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.2 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 WSL
West Ham W vs Chelsea W
0:3
Jan 11, 2026 WSL
Chelsea W vs West Ham W
5:0
Sep 28, 2025 WSL
West Ham W vs Chelsea W
0:4
Mar 30, 2025 WSL
Chelsea W vs West Ham W
2:2
Feb 5, 2025 Women's League Cup
Chelsea W vs West Ham W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Ham W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Chelsea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Malard M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walsh K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Ham W 10 / 100
Chelsea W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Ham W Chelsea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: West Ham W scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Chelsea W conceded in 45% of 31 recent games.

West Ham W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

West Ham W VS Chelsea W
1.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

West Ham W

(Home)
04 Oct
West Ham W
0 : 3
Chelsea W
30 Sept
West Ham W
3 : 1
Southampton FC W
27 Sept
Manchester United W
2 : 1
West Ham W
23 Sept
Tottenham W
0 : 1
West Ham W
20 Sept
West Ham W
0 : 1
Everton W
Page 1 of 6

Chelsea W

(Away)
04 Oct
West Ham W
0 : 3
Chelsea W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Arsenal W
23 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Austria Vienna W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 5 5 0 0 16:6 15
2 Chelsea W 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
3 London City Lionesses W 5 4 0 1 15:5 12
4 Tottenham W 5 3 1 1 16:8 10
5 Everton W 5 3 0 2 4:4 9
6 Liverpool W 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
7 Manchester United W 5 2 1 2 5:9 7
8 Crystal Palace W 5 1 3 1 5:11 6
9 Brighton W 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
10 Arsenal W 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
11 West Ham W 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
12 Aston Villa W 5 0 3 2 4:11 3
13 Birmingham W 5 0 2 3 7:12 2
14 Charlton W 5 0 0 5 2:15 0
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)