Sport Picks
West Ham W vs Manchester City W Prediction & H2H Stats
England
WSL 2025/2026 Chigwell Construction Stadium, Essex 
Match Events
13'
13'
Rose J.
Assist: Greenwood A.
28'
28'
Sub
Hemp L. In: Kerolin
Out: Hemp L.
46'
46'
Sub
Greenwood A. In: Prior G.
Out: Greenwood A.
AI Match Summary
Manchester City W in this WSL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manchester City W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manchester City W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Manchester City W lately — more wins on the board than West Ham W.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular WSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Manchester City W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
West Ham W Clean Sheet 10%
Manchester City W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | West Ham W | Manchester City W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 23 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 2.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 WSL
West Ham W vs Manchester City W
1:4
Dec 21, 2025 Women's League Cup
West Ham W vs Manchester City W
1:5
Nov 1, 2025 WSL
Manchester City W vs West Ham W
1:0
Mar 5, 2025 WSL
West Ham W vs Manchester City W
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 WSL
Manchester City W vs West Ham W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
West Ham W Compare
Top Goalscorer Piubel S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Manchester City W Compare
Top Goalscorer Shaw K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rose J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
West Ham W 30 / 100
Manchester City W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
West Ham W Manchester City W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manchester City W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
West Ham W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
West Ham W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Manchester City W conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
West Ham W VS Manchester City W
1.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
West Ham W
(Home) 30 Sept
West Ham W
3 : 1 Southampton FC W
27 Sept
Manchester United W
2 : 1 West Ham W
23 Sept
Tottenham W
0 : 1 West Ham W
20 Sept
West Ham W
0 : 1 Everton W
12 Sept
West Ham W
2 : 1 London City Lionesses W
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
West Ham W
3 : 1 Southampton FC W
20 Sept
West Ham W
0 : 1 Everton W
12 Sept
West Ham W
2 : 1 London City Lionesses W
16 May
West Ham W
1 : 4 Manchester City W
29 Mar
West Ham W
1 : 1 London City Lionesses W
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Manchester City W
(Away) 01 Oct
Manchester City W
1 : 1 Real Madrid W
26 Sept
Charlton W
0 : 1 Manchester City W
22 Sept
Bayern Munich W
2 : 2 Manchester City W
18 Sept
Manchester City W
4 : 2 Liverpool W
13 Sept
Aston Villa W
1 : 4 Manchester City W
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Charlton W
0 : 1 Manchester City W
22 Sept
Bayern Munich W
2 : 2 Manchester City W
13 Sept
Aston Villa W
1 : 4 Manchester City W
08 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 1 Manchester City W
31 May
Brighton W
0 : 4 Manchester City W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City W | 22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 62:19 | 55 |
| 2 | Arsenal W | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 53:14 | 51 |
| 3 | Chelsea W | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 44:20 | 49 |
| 4 | Manchester United W | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:22 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham W | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 6 | London City Lionesses W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 28:35 | 27 |
| 7 | Brighton W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27:28 | 26 |
| 8 | Everton W | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 25:37 | 23 |
| 9 | Aston Villa W | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 28:48 | 20 |
| 10 | West Ham W | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 20:45 | 19 |
| 11 | Liverpool W | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 21:34 | 17 |
| 12 | Leicester W | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11:52 | 9 |
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - Third stage)
Relegation - WSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
