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West Ham W vs Southampton FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's League Cup Chigwell Construction Stadium, Essex
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Match Events

2' Event
Brazil E.
Assist: Harries E.
32'
Codina L.
38'
Santos A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
West Ham W
30%
Draws
23%
Southampton FC W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: West Ham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • West Ham W haven't matched Southampton FC W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Southampton FC W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor West Ham W, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and West Ham W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
West Ham W Clean Sheet 19%
Southampton FC W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Ham W Southampton FC W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Women's League Cup
West Ham W vs Southampton FC W
3:1
Nov 12, 2025 Women's League Cup
West Ham W vs Southampton FC W
5:0
Dec 11, 2024 Women's League Cup
West Ham W vs Southampton FC W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Ham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Siren O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wandeler L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Southampton FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brazil E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Ham W 31 / 100
Southampton FC W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Ham W Southampton FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Ham W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

West Ham W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Southampton FC W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: West Ham W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

West Ham W VS Southampton FC W
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

West Ham W

(Home)
04 Oct
West Ham W
0 : 3
Chelsea W
30 Sept
West Ham W
3 : 1
Southampton FC W
27 Sept
Manchester United W
2 : 1
West Ham W
23 Sept
Tottenham W
0 : 1
West Ham W
20 Sept
West Ham W
0 : 1
Everton W
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Southampton FC W

(Away)
04 Oct
Bristol City W
2 : 1
Southampton FC W
30 Sept
West Ham W
3 : 1
Southampton FC W
27 Sept
Southampton FC W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
20 Sept
Sunderland W
0 : 0
Southampton FC W
13 Sept
Southampton FC W
0 : 0
Ipswich W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United W 2 2 0 0 15:2 6
2 Aston Villa W 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Crystal Palace W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Liverpool W 2 2 0 0 8:5 6
5 London City Lionesses W 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
6 West Ham W 2 2 0 0 3:1 5
7 Tottenham W 2 1 0 1 1:0 4
8 Brighton W 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
9 Everton W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bristol City W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Burnley W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Wolverhampton W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Watford W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Ipswich W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Sunderland W 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
16 Newcastle Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
17 Southampton FC W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Nottingham W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
19 Leicester W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
20 Birmingham W 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
21 Durham W 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
22 Charlton W 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
23 Sheffield Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:10 0
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