Sport Picks

USA

USL League Two

Toledo Villa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

West Virginia play Toledo Villa in the USL League Two. It looks like a close match. Recently, West Virginia averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Toledo Villa averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, West Virginia won 2, Toledo Villa won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for West Virginia and 1.19 for Toledo Villa. This points to a West Virginia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

West Virginia

23%

Draws

26%

Toledo Villa

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: West Virginia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

West Virginia picked up more points recently compared to Toledo Villa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

West Virginia Clean Sheet 20%

Toledo Villa Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	West Virginia	Toledo Villa
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	8
Draws	5	8
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	1.79	1.48
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 USL League Two

Toledo Villa vs West Virginia

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 0 - 1

3:4

May 30, 2026 USL League Two

West Virginia vs Toledo Villa

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Virginia 50 / 100

Toledo Villa 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

West Virginia Toledo Villa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: West Virginia or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

West Virginia attacking → ← attacking Toledo Villa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

West Virginia scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Toledo Villa let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

West Virginia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Toledo Villa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 32

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63