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Westerlo U21 vs Lierse SK U21

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Pro League U21
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Westerlo U21 play Lierse SK U21 in the Pro League U21. It looks like a close match. Recently, Westerlo U21 averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Lierse SK U21 averaged 1.76 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. In past meetings, Westerlo U21 won 2, Lierse SK U21 won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Westerlo U21 and 1.31 for Lierse SK U21. This points to a Westerlo U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Westerlo U21
26%
Draws
28%
Lierse SK U21
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Westerlo U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Westerlo U21 picked up more points recently compared to Lierse SK U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Westerlo U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Lierse SK U21 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westerlo U21 Lierse SK U21
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 19 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.03 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Pro League U21
Westerlo U21 vs Lierse SK U21
2:2
Nov 28, 2025 Pro League U21
Lierse SK U21 vs Westerlo U21
1:4
Mar 3, 2025 Pro League U21
Lierse SK U21 vs Westerlo U21
0:1
Nov 29, 2024 Pro League U21
Westerlo U21 vs Lierse SK U21
1:1
Sep 13, 2024 Pro League U21
Lierse SK U21 vs Westerlo U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westerlo U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Verheyden Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bicaku J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Lierse SK U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leemans S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van Eyken L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westerlo U21 45 / 100
Lierse SK U21 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westerlo U21 Lierse SK U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Westerlo U21 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Westerlo U21 attacking → ← attacking Lierse SK U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Westerlo U21 scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Lierse SK U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Westerlo U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lierse SK U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 42
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75