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Westerlo vs Charleroi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Westerlo host Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Westerlo at 1.48 goals for, 1.69 against; Charleroi at 1.48 for, 1.31 against. Past meetings favor Westerlo slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 2.19) point toward Charleroi. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Westerlo
15%
Draws
41%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Westerlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Westerlo haven't matched Charleroi's recent run of results.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Westerlo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westerlo Charleroi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Charleroi
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Charleroi
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
2:0
May 9, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westerlo 83 / 100
Charleroi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westerlo Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Westerlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Westerlo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Westerlo scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Charleroi conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Westerlo VS Charleroi
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Westerlo

(Home)
11 Oct
Westerlo
5 : 1
Antwerp
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4
Westerlo
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
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Charleroi

(Away)
11 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 1
Charleroi
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gent 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Club Brugge 8 7 0 1 19:4 21
3 Charleroi 8 7 0 1 16:7 21
4 Royale Union SG 8 6 2 0 22:4 20
5 Anderlecht 8 5 1 2 9:6 16
6 Westerlo 8 4 1 3 20:17 13
7 Genk 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
8 Waregem 8 3 2 3 10:9 11
9 St. Liege 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Lommel SK 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
11 SK Beveren 8 3 0 5 8:14 9
12 St. Truiden 8 2 2 4 15:16 8
13 Antwerp 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
14 KV Mechelen 8 1 3 4 9:17 6
15 Leuven 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
16 RAAL La Louviere 8 1 1 6 8:18 4
17 Kortrijk 8 1 0 7 2:18 3
18 Cercle Brugge 8 0 3 5 9:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)