Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Westerlo vs St. Liege

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Westerlo Logo

Westerlo

4 - 2
FT
St. Liege Logo

St. Liege

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bassette N.
Assist: Congreve C.
56' Event
Lapage A.
61'
Sub
Touzghar R. In: Drammeh S.
Out: Touzghar R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Westerlo in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Westerlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Westerlo
20%
Draws
47%
St. Liege
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Liege

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • St. Liege have won more games recently than Westerlo.
  • Win probability leans Westerlo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westerlo St. Liege
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
4:2
May 19, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Westerlo
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Westerlo
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassette N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lapage A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

St. Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsimba B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abid A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westerlo 34 / 100
St. Liege 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westerlo St. Liege

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Westerlo scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

St. Liege let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Westerlo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Westerlo VS St. Liege
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Westerlo

(Home)
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4
Westerlo
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
Page 1 of 6

St. Liege

(Away)
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
21 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
16 Aug
KV Mechelen
3 : 3
St. Liege
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 6 5 1 0 19:3 16
2 Gent 5 5 0 0 10:2 15
3 Club Brugge 5 4 0 1 9:2 12
4 Charleroi 5 4 0 1 11:5 12
5 Waregem 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
6 St. Liege 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
7 Anderlecht 6 3 1 2 4:5 10
8 SK Beveren 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
9 Genk 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
10 St. Truiden 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
11 Antwerp 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
12 Lommel SK 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
13 Westerlo 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
14 Cercle Brugge 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
15 KV Mechelen 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 RAAL La Louviere 5 0 1 4 4:12 1
17 Leuven 6 0 1 5 3:13 1
18 Kortrijk 5 0 0 5 1:12 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)