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Westerlo vs St. Liege - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Westerlo Logo

Westerlo

4 - 2
FT
St. Liege Logo

St. Liege

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bassette N.
Assist: Congreve C.
56' Event
Lapage A.
61'
Sub
Touzghar R. In: Drammeh S.
Out: Touzghar R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Westerlo in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Westerlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Westerlo
20%
Draws
23%
St. Liege
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Westerlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Liege have won more games recently than Westerlo.
  • Win probability leans Westerlo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 16%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westerlo St. Liege
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
4:2
May 19, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Westerlo
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Westerlo
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassette N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lapage A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

St. Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsimba B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abid A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westerlo 84 / 100
St. Liege 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westerlo St. Liege

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Westerlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Westerlo scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

St. Liege let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Westerlo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Westerlo VS St. Liege
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Westerlo

(Home)
31 Oct
Anderlecht
4 : 1
Westerlo
24 Oct
Westerlo
4 : 4
SK Beveren
16 Oct
Westerlo
2 : 0
Patro Eisden
11 Oct
Westerlo
5 : 1
Antwerp
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
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St. Liege

(Away)
31 Oct
St. Liege
1 : 1
Kortrijk
25 Oct
Genk
2 : 1
St. Liege
16 Oct
St. Liege
2 : 0
Dender
11 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 1
Charleroi
02 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 2
Lens
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 26:8 27
2 Royale Union SG 10 8 2 0 29:7 26
3 Gent 10 8 1 1 19:6 25
4 Charleroi 10 8 0 2 21:12 24
5 Anderlecht 10 6 1 3 13:11 19
6 Genk 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
7 Lommel SK 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 25:25 14
9 St. Liege 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
10 KV Mechelen 10 3 3 4 13:18 12
11 Waregem 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
12 Antwerp 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
13 SK Beveren 10 3 1 6 13:20 10
14 Leuven 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
15 St. Truiden 10 2 2 6 18:21 8
16 RAAL La Louviere 10 2 1 7 13:23 7
17 Cercle Brugge 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
18 Kortrijk 10 1 1 8 4:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)