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Westerlo vs Waregem

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Saito S.
25' Event
Hedl T.
Assist: Ementa A.
48' Event
Bassette N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between Westerlo and Waregem finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Westerlo
20%
Draws
40%
Waregem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Waregem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Waregem's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%
Waregem Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westerlo Waregem
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Waregem
2:2
Jan 31, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Westerlo
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Waregem
3:1
Jan 21, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Westerlo
1:1
Oct 1, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Waregem
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Saito S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Waregem Compare

Top Goalscorer Hedl T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westerlo 10 / 100
Waregem 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westerlo Waregem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waregem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:8
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Westerlo scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Waregem let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Westerlo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Westerlo VS Waregem
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Westerlo

(Home)
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4
Westerlo
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
Page 1 of 6

Waregem

(Away)
19 Sept
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Waregem
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
22 Aug
Waregem
4 : 0
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
2 Royale Union SG 6 5 1 0 19:3 16
3 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 12:3 15
4 Charleroi 6 5 0 1 12:5 15
5 Waregem 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
7 Anderlecht 6 3 1 2 4:5 10
8 SK Beveren 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
9 Genk 6 2 3 1 13:9 9
10 St. Truiden 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
11 Antwerp 6 2 1 3 11:13 7
12 Lommel SK 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
13 Westerlo 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
15 Cercle Brugge 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
16 KV Mechelen 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
17 Leuven 6 0 1 5 3:13 1
18 Kortrijk 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)