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Westerlo vs Waregem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Het Kuipje, Westerlo
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Match Events

8' Event
Saito S.
25' Event
Hedl T.
Assist: Ementa A.
48' Event
Bassette N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between Westerlo and Waregem finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Westerlo
15%
Draws
20%
Waregem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Westerlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Waregem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Westerlo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 15%
Waregem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westerlo Waregem
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.64 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Waregem
2:2
Jan 31, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Westerlo
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Waregem
3:1
Jan 21, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Westerlo
1:1
Oct 1, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Waregem
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Saito S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Waregem Compare

Top Goalscorer Hedl T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westerlo 84 / 100
Waregem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westerlo Waregem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Westerlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Westerlo scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Waregem let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Westerlo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Westerlo VS Waregem
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Westerlo

(Home)
31 Oct
Anderlecht
4 : 1
Westerlo
24 Oct
Westerlo
4 : 4
SK Beveren
16 Oct
Westerlo
2 : 0
Patro Eisden
11 Oct
Westerlo
5 : 1
Antwerp
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
Page 1 of 6

Waregem

(Away)
30 Oct
Waregem
2 : 4
Club Brugge
24 Oct
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 0
Waregem
17 Oct
Waregem
3 : 0
RFC Seraing
10 Oct
Waregem
0 : 2
Gent
02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1
Waregem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 26:8 27
2 Royale Union SG 10 8 2 0 29:7 26
3 Gent 10 8 1 1 19:6 25
4 Charleroi 10 8 0 2 21:12 24
5 Anderlecht 10 6 1 3 13:11 19
6 Genk 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
7 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
8 Lommel SK 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
9 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 25:25 14
10 KV Mechelen 10 3 3 4 13:18 12
11 Waregem 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
12 Antwerp 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
13 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
14 Leuven 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
15 St. Truiden 10 2 2 6 18:21 8
16 RAAL La Louviere 10 2 1 7 13:23 7
17 Cercle Brugge 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
18 Kortrijk 10 1 1 8 4:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)